NFL 2026 Week 3 schedule

Week 3 of the 2026 season with real current market spreads, totals and line movement. Nothing on this page is a prediction for a game that has already been played, and no final score is shown for a game that has not.

Thursday

GB -7.5 (3 books)
Total 46.5
GB win prob 74.9%
ATL short weekGB short week
Signals

Line movement: opened -7.5, now -7.5; total opened 46.5, now 46.5 across 86 real snapshots.

Rest: ATL 4 days (short week), GB 4 days (short week).

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Atlanta Falcons: 0.532%
  • Green Bay Packers: 1.266%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Green Bay Packers SOS · Atlanta Falcons SOS

Sunday early

CLE +2 (2 books)
Total 38.75
CAR win prob 55.3%
Signals

Line movement: opened +2, now +2; total opened 38.75, now 38.75 across 86 real snapshots.

Rest: CAR 7 days, CLE 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Carolina Panthers: 1.173%
  • Cleveland Browns: 0.947%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Cleveland Browns SOS · Carolina Panthers SOS

PIT +1.5 (3 books)
Total 46.5
CIN win prob 52.6%
Divisional
Signals

Line movement: opened +1.5, now +1.5; total opened 46.5, now 46.5 across 86 real snapshots.

Rest: CIN 7 days, PIT 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Cincinnati Bengals: 1.063%
  • Pittsburgh Steelers: 1.004%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Pittsburgh Steelers SOS · Cincinnati Bengals SOS

IND +1.5 (3 books)
Total 45.5
HOU win prob 51.8%
Divisional
Signals

Line movement: opened +1.5, now +1.5; total opened 45.5, now 45.5 across 86 real snapshots.

Rest: HOU 7 days, IND 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Houston Texans: 1.001%
  • Indianapolis Colts: 1.026%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Indianapolis Colts SOS · Houston Texans SOS

MIA +7.5 (3 books)
Total 44.5
KC win prob 76.8%
Signals

Line movement: opened +7.5, now +7.5; total opened 44.5, now 44.5 across 86 real snapshots.

Rest: KC 7 days, MIA 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Kansas City Chiefs: 1.621%
  • Miami Dolphins: 0.492%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Miami Dolphins SOS · Kansas City Chiefs SOS

BUF -3 (2 books)
Total 49.25
BUF win prob 59.9%
BUF off a bye
Signals

Line movement: opened -3, now -3; total opened 49.25, now 49.25 across 86 real snapshots.

Rest: LAC 7 days, BUF 10 days (off a bye).

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Los Angeles Chargers: 0.849%
  • Buffalo Bills: 1.169%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Buffalo Bills SOS · Los Angeles Chargers SOS

JAX -1.5 (3 books)
Total 45.5
JAX win prob 52.4%
Signals

Line movement: opened -1.5, now -1.5; total opened 45.5, now 45.5 across 62 real snapshots.

Rest: NE 7 days, JAX 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • New England Patriots: 0.927%
  • Jacksonville Jaguars: 1.112%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Jacksonville Jaguars SOS · New England Patriots SOS

DET -9.75 (2 books)
Total 46
DET win prob 78.6%
DET off a bye
Signals

Line movement: opened -9.75, now -9.75; total opened 46, now 46 across 86 real snapshots.

Rest: NYJ 7 days, DET 10 days (off a bye).

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • New York Jets: 0.453%
  • Detroit Lions: 1.549%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Detroit Lions SOS · New York Jets SOS

WAS +3.25 (2 books)
Total 46.5
SEA win prob 61.9%
Signals

Line movement: opened +3.5, now +3.25; total opened 46.5, now 46.5 across 63 real snapshots.

Rest: SEA 7 days, WAS 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Seattle Seahawks: 1.219%
  • Washington Commanders: 0.808%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Washington Commanders SOS · Seattle Seahawks SOS

NYG -3 (3 books)
Total 44.5
NYG win prob 60.6%
NYG short week
Signals

Line movement: opened -3, now -3; total opened 44.5, now 44.5 across 86 real snapshots.

Rest: TEN 7 days, NYG 6 days (short week).

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Tennessee Titans: 0.835%
  • New York Giants: 1.285%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: New York Giants SOS · Tennessee Titans SOS

Sunday late

SF -11.5 (3 books)
Total 46.5
SF win prob 82.2%
Divisional
Signals

Line movement: opened -11.5, now -11.5; total opened 46.5, now 46.5 across 86 real snapshots.

Rest: ARI 7 days, SF 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Arizona Cardinals: 0.378%
  • San Francisco 49ers: 1.734%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: San Francisco 49ers SOS · Arizona Cardinals SOS

TB -1.5 (3 books)
Total 44.5
TB win prob 54.6%
Signals

Line movement: opened -1.5, now -1.5; total opened 44.5, now 44.5 across 86 real snapshots.

Rest: MIN 7 days, TB 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Minnesota Vikings: 0.962%
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1.158%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Tampa Bay Buccaneers SOS · Minnesota Vikings SOS

DAL +2.5 (3 books)
Total 51.5
BAL win prob 55.3%
Signals

Line movement: opened +2.5, now +2.5; total opened 51.5, now 51.5 across 86 real snapshots.

Rest: BAL 7 days, DAL 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Baltimore Ravens: 1.134%
  • Dallas Cowboys: 0.844%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Dallas Cowboys SOS · Baltimore Ravens SOS

NO -3.75 (2 books)
Total 42
NO win prob 63.0%
Signals

Line movement: opened -3.5, now -3.75; total opened 42.5, now 42 across 86 real snapshots.

Rest: LV 7 days, NO 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Las Vegas Raiders: 0.785%
  • New Orleans Saints: 1.335%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: New Orleans Saints SOS · Las Vegas Raiders SOS

Sunday night

DEN +3 (2 books)
Total 46
LA win prob 58.9%
LA short week
Signals

Line movement: opened +3, now +3; total opened 46, now 46 across 86 real snapshots.

Rest: LA 6 days (short week), DEN 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Los Angeles Rams: 1.037%
  • Denver Broncos: 0.780%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Denver Broncos SOS · Los Angeles Rams SOS

Monday

CHI -1.5 (2 books)
Total 46.5
CHI win prob 52.4%
Signals

Line movement: opened -1.5, now -1.5; total opened 46.5, now 46.5 across 86 real snapshots.

Rest: PHI 8 days, CHI 8 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Philadelphia Eagles: 0.956%
  • Chicago Bears: 1.112%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Chicago Bears SOS · Philadelphia Eagles SOS

Path survival is a 10,000-trial Monte Carlo run on de-vigged odds_api_live prices, seeded at 20260101 with no teams used, matching the state the Path Survival Alert tracks. No prior same-state snapshot exists for this week, so levels are shown without a drift figure.

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