NFL 2026 Week 16 schedule

Week 16 of the 2026 season with real current market spreads, totals and line movement. Nothing on this page is a prediction for a game that has already been played, and no final score is shown for a game that has not.

Thursday

PHI -2.75 (2 books)
Total 38
PHI win prob 57.2%
HOU short weekPHI short week
Signals

Line movement: opened -2.5, now -2.75; total opened 38.5, now 38 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: HOU 4 days (short week), PHI 5 days (short week).

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Houston Texans: 26.418%
  • Philadelphia Eagles: 35.302%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Philadelphia Eagles SOS · Houston Texans SOS

Friday

CHI -1.25 (2 books)
Total 47.5
CHI win prob 51.4%
DivisionalGB short weekCHI short week
Signals

Line movement: opened -1.5, now -1.25; total opened 47.5, now 47.5 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: GB 5 days (short week), CHI 6 days (short week).

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Green Bay Packers: 30.013%
  • Chicago Bears: 31.707%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Chicago Bears SOS · Green Bay Packers SOS

DEN +1.25 (2 books)
Total 47
BUF win prob 52.7%
BUF short weekDEN short week
Signals

Line movement: opened +1.5, now +1.25; total opened 46.5, now 47 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: BUF 6 days (short week), DEN 5 days (short week).

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Buffalo Bills: 29.449%
  • Denver Broncos: 29.210%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Denver Broncos SOS · Buffalo Bills SOS

SEA -0.75 (2 books)
Total 47
SEA win prob 52.1%
DivisionalLA short weekSEA short week
Signals

Line movement: opened 0, now -0.75; total opened 46.5, now 47 across 63 real snapshots.

Rest: LA 5 days (short week), SEA 6 days (short week).

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Los Angeles Rams: 29.536%
  • Seattle Seahawks: 32.184%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Seattle Seahawks SOS · Los Angeles Rams SOS

Sunday early

NO -5.5 (3 books)
Total 44.5
NO win prob 68.1%
Signals

Line movement: opened -5.5, now -5.5; total opened 44.5, now 44.5 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: ARI 7 days, NO 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Arizona Cardinals: 19.686%
  • New Orleans Saints: 42.034%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: New Orleans Saints SOS · Arizona Cardinals SOS

PIT -3.5 (3 books)
Total 41.5
PIT win prob 62.7%
Signals

Line movement: opened -3.5, now -3.5; total opened 41.5, now 41.5 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: CAR 7 days, PIT 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Carolina Panthers: 23.050%
  • Pittsburgh Steelers: 38.670%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Pittsburgh Steelers SOS · Carolina Panthers SOS

IND +1.5 (3 books)
Total 52.5
CIN win prob 52.6%
Signals

Line movement: opened +1.5, now +1.5; total opened 52.5, now 52.5 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: CIN 7 days, IND 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Cincinnati Bengals: 32.484%
  • Indianapolis Colts: 29.236%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Indianapolis Colts SOS · Cincinnati Bengals SOS

BAL -10 (3 books)
Total 43.5
BAL win prob 78.8%
Divisional
Signals

Line movement: opened -10, now -10; total opened 43.5, now 43.5 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: CLE 7 days, BAL 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Cleveland Browns: 13.064%
  • Baltimore Ravens: 48.656%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Baltimore Ravens SOS · Cleveland Browns SOS

MIA +7 (2 books)
Total 44.5
LAC win prob 74.9%
LAC off a bye
Signals

Line movement: opened +7, now +7; total opened 44.5, now 44.5 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: LAC 10 days (off a bye), MIA 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Los Angeles Chargers: 46.245%
  • Miami Dolphins: 15.475%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Miami Dolphins SOS · Los Angeles Chargers SOS

NYJ +6.25 (2 books)
Total 41.5
NE win prob 69.8%
DivisionalNE short week
Signals

Line movement: opened +6.25, now +6.25; total opened 41.5, now 41.5 across 63 real snapshots.

Rest: NE 6 days (short week), NYJ 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • New England Patriots: 40.688%
  • New York Jets: 18.660%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: New York Jets SOS · New England Patriots SOS

ATL +1.25 (2 books)
Total 45.25
TB win prob 52.2%
Divisional
Signals

Line movement: opened +1.25, now +1.25; total opened 45.25, now 45.25 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: TB 7 days, ATL 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 32.202%
  • Atlanta Falcons: 29.518%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Atlanta Falcons SOS · Tampa Bay Buccaneers SOS

MIN -2.5 (3 books)
Total 46.5
MIN win prob 54.6%
Signals

Line movement: opened -2.5, now -2.5; total opened 46.5, now 46.5 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: WAS 7 days, MIN 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Washington Commanders: 28.003%
  • Minnesota Vikings: 33.717%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Minnesota Vikings SOS · Washington Commanders SOS

Sunday late

LV -1.5 (2 books)
Total 42
LV win prob 53.2%
Signals

Line movement: opened -1.5, now -1.5; total opened 42.5, now 42 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: TEN 7 days, LV 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Tennessee Titans: 28.856%
  • Las Vegas Raiders: 32.864%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Las Vegas Raiders SOS · Tennessee Titans SOS

KC -3 (3 books)
Total 46.5
KC win prob 58.9%
SF off a byeKC short week
Signals

Line movement: opened -3, now -3; total opened 46.5, now 46.5 across 86 real snapshots.

Rest: SF 10 days (off a bye), KC 6 days (short week).

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • San Francisco 49ers: 25.345%
  • Kansas City Chiefs: 36.375%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Kansas City Chiefs SOS · San Francisco 49ers SOS

Sunday night

DAL -3 (2 books)
Total 52
DAL win prob 59.9%
Signals

Line movement: opened -3, now -3; total opened 52, now 52 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: JAX 7 days, DAL 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Jacksonville Jaguars: 24.719%
  • Dallas Cowboys: 37.001%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Dallas Cowboys SOS · Jacksonville Jaguars SOS

Monday

DET -5.5 (2 books)
Total 49.5
DET win prob 67.1%
Signals

Line movement: opened -5.5, now -5.5; total opened 49.5, now 49.5 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: NYG 8 days, DET 8 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • New York Giants: 20.335%
  • Detroit Lions: 41.385%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Detroit Lions SOS · New York Giants SOS

Path survival is a 10,000-trial Monte Carlo run on de-vigged odds_api_live prices, seeded at 20260101 with no teams used, matching the state the Path Survival Alert tracks. No prior same-state snapshot exists for this week, so levels are shown without a drift figure.

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