NFL 2026 Week 5 schedule

Week 5 of the 2026 season with real current market spreads, totals and line movement. Nothing on this page is a prediction for a game that has already been played, and no final score is shown for a game that has not.

Thursday

DAL -3.5 (3 books)
Total 52.5
DAL win prob 63.4%
TB short weekDAL short week
Signals

Line movement: opened -3.5, now -3.5; total opened 52.5, now 52.5 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: TB 4 days (short week), DAL 4 days (short week).

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1.339%
  • Dallas Cowboys: 2.010%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Dallas Cowboys SOS · Tampa Bay Buccaneers SOS

Sunday early

JAX +1.5 (3 books)
Total 44.5
PHI win prob 53.2%
Signals

Line movement: opened +1.5, now +1.5; total opened 44.5, now 44.5 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: PHI 7 days, JAX 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Philadelphia Eagles: 1.949%
  • Jacksonville Jaguars: 1.711%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Jacksonville Jaguars SOS · Philadelphia Eagles SOS

MIA +6 (3 books)
Total 49.5
CIN win prob 70.0%
Signals

Line movement: opened +6, now +6; total opened 49.5, now 49.5 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: CIN 7 days, MIA 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Cincinnati Bengals: 2.464%
  • Miami Dolphins: 1.098%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Miami Dolphins SOS · Cincinnati Bengals SOS

NYJ -2.5 (2 books)
Total 39
NYJ win prob 55.6%
CLE off a bye
Signals

Line movement: opened -2, now -2.5; total opened 39, now 39 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: CLE 10 days (off a bye), NYJ 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Cleveland Browns: 1.627%
  • New York Jets: 2.033%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: New York Jets SOS · Cleveland Browns SOS

TEN +3.5 (3 books)
Total 43.5
HOU win prob 61.0%
Divisional
Signals

Line movement: opened +3.5, now +3.5; total opened 43.5, now 43.5 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: HOU 7 days, TEN 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Houston Texans: 2.158%
  • Tennessee Titans: 1.428%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Tennessee Titans SOS · Houston Texans SOS

PIT -2.5 (3 books)
Total 47.5
PIT win prob 54.8%
PIT off a bye
Signals

Line movement: opened -2.5, now -2.5; total opened 47.5, now 47.5 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: IND 7 days, PIT 10 days (off a bye).

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Indianapolis Colts: 1.730%
  • Pittsburgh Steelers: 2.007%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Pittsburgh Steelers SOS · Indianapolis Colts SOS

NE -8.5 (2 books)
Total 44
NE win prob 77.2%
Signals

Line movement: opened -8.5, now -8.5; total opened 44.5, now 44 across 63 real snapshots.

Rest: LV 7 days, NE 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Las Vegas Raiders: 0.834%
  • New England Patriots: 2.640%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: New England Patriots SOS · Las Vegas Raiders SOS

NO +1.5 (3 books)
Total 44.5
MIN win prob 50.7%
NO short week
Signals

Line movement: opened +1.5, now +1.5; total opened 44.5, now 44.5 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: MIN 7 days, NO 6 days (short week).

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Minnesota Vikings: 1.854%
  • New Orleans Saints: 1.806%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: New Orleans Saints SOS · Minnesota Vikings SOS

WAS -2.5 (3 books)
Total 48.5
WAS win prob 56.0%
Divisional
Signals

Line movement: opened -2.5, now -2.5; total opened 48.5, now 48.5 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: NYG 7 days, WAS 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • New York Giants: 1.611%
  • Washington Commanders: 2.049%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Washington Commanders SOS · New York Giants SOS

Sunday late

LAC -2.5 (3 books)
Total 44.5
LAC win prob 58.0%
Divisional
Signals

Line movement: opened -2.5, now -2.5; total opened 44.5, now 44.5 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: DEN 7 days, LAC 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Denver Broncos: 1.469%
  • Los Angeles Chargers: 2.124%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Los Angeles Chargers SOS · Denver Broncos SOS

GB -3.25 (2 books)
Total 49
GB win prob 61.1%
Divisional
Signals

Line movement: opened -3.25, now -3.25; total opened 49, now 49 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: CHI 7 days, GB 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Chicago Bears: 1.424%
  • Green Bay Packers: 1.906%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Green Bay Packers SOS · Chicago Bears SOS

ARI +8.25 (2 books)
Total 48.5
DET win prob 76.4%
Signals

Line movement: opened +8.25, now +8.25; total opened 48.5, now 48.5 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: DET 7 days, ARI 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Detroit Lions: 2.568%
  • Arizona Cardinals: 0.863%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Arizona Cardinals SOS · Detroit Lions SOS

SEA -3.75 (2 books)
Total 48
SEA win prob 64.6%
Divisional
Signals

Line movement: opened -3.5, now -3.75; total opened 48.5, now 48 across 63 real snapshots.

Rest: SF 7 days, SEA 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • San Francisco 49ers: 1.294%
  • Seattle Seahawks: 2.223%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Seattle Seahawks SOS · San Francisco 49ers SOS

Sunday night

ATL +4.5 (3 books)
Total 48.5
BAL win prob 63.9%
ATL short week
Signals

Line movement: opened +4.5, now +4.5; total opened 48.5, now 48.5 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: BAL 7 days, ATL 6 days (short week).

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Baltimore Ravens: 2.204%
  • Atlanta Falcons: 1.322%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Atlanta Falcons SOS · Baltimore Ravens SOS

Monday

LA -3.25 (2 books)
Total 54
LA win prob 61.7%
Signals

Line movement: opened -3.75, now -3.25; total opened 54, now 54 across 86 real snapshots.

Rest: BUF 8 days, LA 8 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Buffalo Bills: 1.335%
  • Los Angeles Rams: 1.957%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Los Angeles Rams SOS · Buffalo Bills SOS

Path survival is a 10,000-trial Monte Carlo run on de-vigged odds_api_live prices, seeded at 20260101 with no teams used, matching the state the Path Survival Alert tracks. No prior same-state snapshot exists for this week, so levels are shown without a drift figure.

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