NFL 2026 Week 11 schedule

Week 11 of the 2026 season with real current market spreads, totals and line movement. Nothing on this page is a prediction for a game that has already been played, and no final score is shown for a game that has not.

Thursday

HOU -5 (2 books)
Total 44.5
HOU win prob 66.6%
DivisionalIND short weekHOU short week
Signals

Line movement: opened -5, now -5; total opened 44.5, now 44.5 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: IND 4 days (short week), HOU 4 days (short week).

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Indianapolis Colts: 5.733%
  • Houston Texans: 11.427%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Houston Texans SOS · Indianapolis Colts SOS

Sunday early

KC -11.5 (3 books)
Total 44.5
KC win prob 82.5%
Signals

Line movement: opened -11.5, now -11.5; total opened 44.5, now 44.5 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: ARI 7 days, KC 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Arizona Cardinals: 3.011%
  • Kansas City Chiefs: 14.149%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Kansas City Chiefs SOS · Arizona Cardinals SOS

CAR +4.5 (3 books)
Total 46.5
BAL win prob 64.8%
BAL short week
Signals

Line movement: opened +4.5, now +4.5; total opened 46.5, now 46.5 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: BAL 6 days (short week), CAR 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Baltimore Ravens: 10.677%
  • Carolina Panthers: 6.036%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Carolina Panthers SOS · Baltimore Ravens SOS

NYG +1.25 (2 books)
Total 47
JAX win prob 52.2%
NYG off a bye
Signals

Line movement: opened +1.25, now +1.25; total opened 47, now 47 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: JAX 7 days, NYG 10 days (off a bye).

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Jacksonville Jaguars: 8.953%
  • New York Giants: 8.207%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: New York Giants SOS · Jacksonville Jaguars SOS

BUF -12 (2 books)
Total 48
BUF win prob 83.8%
Divisional
Signals

Line movement: opened -12, now -12; total opened 48, now 48 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: MIA 7 days, BUF 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Miami Dolphins: 2.788%
  • Buffalo Bills: 12.956%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Buffalo Bills SOS · Miami Dolphins SOS

CHI -6.5 (2 books)
Total 46.25
CHI win prob 71.0%
CHI off a bye
Signals

Line movement: opened -6.5, now -6.5; total opened 46.25, now 46.25 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: NO 7 days, CHI 14 days (off a bye).

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • New Orleans Saints: 4.983%
  • Chicago Bears: 12.177%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Chicago Bears SOS · New Orleans Saints SOS

DET -4.5 (2 books)
Total 48.5
DET win prob 65.7%
TB off a bye
Signals

Line movement: opened -4.5, now -4.5; total opened 48.5, now 48.5 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: TB 14 days (off a bye), DET 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 5.889%
  • Detroit Lions: 11.264%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Detroit Lions SOS · Tampa Bay Buccaneers SOS

DAL -6.75 (2 books)
Total 48
DAL win prob 72.3%
Signals

Line movement: opened -6.75, now -6.75; total opened 48, now 48 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: TEN 7 days, DAL 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Tennessee Titans: 4.749%
  • Dallas Cowboys: 12.411%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Dallas Cowboys SOS · Tennessee Titans SOS

Sunday late

LAC -10 (2 books)
Total 42
LAC win prob 78.8%
LAC short week
Signals

Line movement: opened -10, now -10; total opened 42, now 42 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: NYJ 7 days, LAC 6 days (short week).

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • New York Jets: 3.632%
  • Los Angeles Chargers: 13.528%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Los Angeles Chargers SOS · New York Jets SOS

DEN -8 (2 books)
Total 41
DEN win prob 75.9%
DivisionalDEN off a bye
Signals

Line movement: opened -8, now -8; total opened 41, now 41 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: LV 7 days, DEN 14 days (off a bye).

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Las Vegas Raiders: 4.138%
  • Denver Broncos: 12.575%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Denver Broncos SOS · Las Vegas Raiders SOS

PHI -5.5 (3 books)
Total 42.5
PHI win prob 69.4%
PHI off a bye
Signals

Line movement: opened -5.5, now -5.5; total opened 42.5, now 42.5 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: PIT 7 days, PHI 14 days (off a bye).

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Pittsburgh Steelers: 5.243%
  • Philadelphia Eagles: 11.917%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Philadelphia Eagles SOS · Pittsburgh Steelers SOS

Sunday night

SF -3.5 (3 books)
Total 46.5
SF win prob 63.8%
Signals

Line movement: opened -3.75, now -3.5; total opened 46.5, now 46.5 across 86 real snapshots.

Rest: MIN 7 days, SF 7 days.

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Minnesota Vikings: 6.216%
  • San Francisco 49ers: 10.944%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: San Francisco 49ers SOS · Minnesota Vikings SOS

Monday

WAS +1.5 (3 books)
Total 52.5
CIN win prob 52.3%
WAS off a bye
Signals

Line movement: opened +1.5, now +1.5; total opened 52.5, now 52.5 across 87 real snapshots.

Rest: CIN 8 days, WAS 11 days (off a bye).

Rest-of-season path survival if picked now

  • Cincinnati Bengals: 8.657%
  • Washington Commanders: 8.184%

Positional strength of schedule is a remaining-schedule metric, not a per-game one: Washington Commanders SOS · Cincinnati Bengals SOS

Path survival is a 10,000-trial Monte Carlo run on de-vigged odds_api_live prices, seeded at 20260101 with no teams used, matching the state the Path Survival Alert tracks. No prior same-state snapshot exists for this week, so levels are shown without a drift figure.

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