NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Kansas City Chiefs vs Seattle Seahawks

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Chiefs is the better survivor pick this week

Chiefs score 0.554 equity (80.4% win probability) against Seahawks at 0.541 — a real gap of 0.013.

KC team page →SEA team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs NYJOpponentvs ARI
80.4%Win prob77.2%
0.554Equity score0.541
−10.0Spread11/10 books−8.5
47.5Game total39.5
= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▼ 0.002

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 7KC @ SEA3-20 · SEA

All-time series: 13 meetings · KC 7 — SEA 6. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1540.3ELO rating1568.3
#12ELO rank#5
5-2Record4-4
AFC WestDivisionNFC West
#2Division rank#2
L 4 · L 17 · W +16 · W +3 · W +14Last 5newest firstL 17 · W +17 · L 3 · L 3 · W +7

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

13.1 · #6vs QB10.9 · #2
20.2 · #12vs RB22.2 · #18
25.1 · #2vs WR23.8 · #1
17.8 · #24vs TE10.1 · #4

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.17 (2026)Sacks / game2.43 (2026)
8.5Pressures / game11
37-13Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows14-15

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

39.9% · #26Pre-snap motion45.8% · #13
8.1% · #32Play action10.7% · #20
11.5% · #1RPO1.9% · #28
4.7% · #7Screen pass2.6% · #29
2.4% · #32No huddle5.8% · #18
67.6% · #2Shotgun37.9% · #31

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

37.0% · #9Man coverage29.1% · #20
33.6% · #4Blitz (5+ rushers)20.7% · #30
33.6% · #6Pressure33.2% · #7
KC scheme profile →SEA scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Kansas City Chiefs

  • Chamarri ConnerSafetyOut
  • Drue TranquillLBFull Participation in Practice
  • Jeff CaldwellWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
  • Jimmy HolidayWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
  • Josh SimmonsOffensive TackleOut
  • Mansoor DelaneCBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Nick BoltonLBFull Participation in Practice
  • Nikko RemigioWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Omarr Norman-LottDTLimited Participation in Practice
  • Patrick MahomesQBFull Participation in Practice
  • Peter WoodsDTDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Rashee RiceWRLimited Participation in Practice

Seattle Seahawks

  • Anthony BradfordGQuestionable
  • Brady RussellFBFull Participation in Practice
  • Brandon PiliDTQuestionable
  • Byron Murphy IIDTFull Participation in Practice
  • Charles CrossTOut
  • Chazz SurrattLBFull Participation in Practice
  • Connor O'TooleLBFull Participation in Practice
  • DeMarcus LawrenceLBFull Participation in Practice
  • Drake ThomasLBFull Participation in Practice
  • Drew LockQBQuestionable
  • Jadarian PriceRBFull Participation in Practice
  • Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWRFull Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

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