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Kansas City Chiefs vs Seattle Seahawks

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Chiefs is the better survivor pick this week

Chiefs score 0.410 equity (56.8% win probability) against Seahawks at 0.362 — a real gap of 0.049.

KC team page →SEA team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs DENOpponentvs NE

56.8%Win prob47.4%

0.410Equity score0.362

−2.5Spread11/4 books−0.0

43.5Game total29.5

▼ 0.003Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.163

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 7KC @ SEAnot played yet

All-time series: 12 meetings · KC 7 — SEA 5. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1519.9ELO rating1630.6

#16ELO rank#1

6-11Record14-3

AFC WestDivisionNFC West

#3Division rank#1

L 2 · L 7 · L 17 · L 3 · L 10Last 5newest firstW +16 · W +4 · W +35 · W +10 · W +17

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

15.1 · #13vs QB14.0 · #7

19.4 · #6vs RB19.0 · #4

27.3 · #10vs WR26.3 · #4

11.0 · #7vs TE14.7 · #21

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.06 (2025)Sacks / game2.8 (2025)

7.88Pressures / game11.3

35-12Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows12-13

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

39.9% · #26Pre-snap motion45.8% · #13

8.1% · #32Play action10.7% · #20

11.5% · #1RPO1.9% · #28

4.7% · #7Screen pass2.6% · #29

2.4% · #32No huddle5.8% · #18

67.6% · #2Shotgun37.9% · #31

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

37.0% · #9Man coverage29.1% · #20

33.6% · #4Blitz (5+ rushers)20.7% · #30

33.6% · #6Pressure33.2% · #7

KC scheme profile →SEA scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Kansas City Chiefs

Ashton GillotteDEFull Participation in Practice
Chamarri ConnerSDid Not Participate In Practice
Chris Roland-WallaceCornerbackOut
Dameon PierceRunning BackOut
Deon BushSafetyQuestionable
Derrick NnadiDefensive TackleOut
Elijah MitchellRunning BackOut
Ethan DriskellOffensive TackleQuestionable
Felix Anudike-UzomahDefensive EndInjured Reserve
Gardner MinshewQuarterbackOut
George KarlaftisDefensive EndOut
Hollywood BrownWide ReceiverQuestionable

Seattle Seahawks

AJ BarnerTEFull Participation in Practice
AJ FinleySafetyInjured Reserve
Amari KightOffensive TackleOut
Anthony BradfordGFull Participation in Practice
Brandon PiliDefensive TackleQuestionable
Cam AkersRunning BackOut
Charles CrossOffensive TackleQuestionable
Chazz SurrattLinebackerOut
Cody WhiteWide ReceiverQuestionable
Connor O'TooleLinebackerOut
Dareke YoungWide ReceiverOut
Derick HallLinebackerQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)