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Indianapolis Colts vs Seattle Seahawks

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Seahawks is the better survivor pick this week

Seahawks score 0.362 equity (47.4% win probability) against Colts at 0.338 — a real gap of 0.024.

IND team page →SEA team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs BALOpponentvs NE

39.3%Win prob47.4%

0.338Equity score0.362

+3.0Spread11/4 books−0.0

48.0Game total29.5

▲ 0.003Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.163

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 7 meetings · IND 3 — SEA 4. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1471.9ELO rating1630.6

#23ELO rank#1

8-9Record14-3

AFC SouthDivisionNFC West

#3Division rank#1

L 8 · L 6 · L 21 · L 2 · L 17Last 5newest firstW +16 · W +4 · W +35 · W +10 · W +17

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

16.9 · #18vs QB14.0 · #7

20.0 · #10vs RB19.0 · #4

36.1 · #31vs WR26.3 · #4

15.2 · #25vs TE14.7 · #21

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.29 (2025)Sacks / game2.8 (2025)

9.88Pressures / game11.3

6-8Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows12-13

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

42.6% · #17Pre-snap motion45.8% · #13

13.6% · #4Play action10.7% · #20

7.2% · #7RPO1.9% · #28

2.7% · #28Screen pass2.6% · #29

4.7% · #21No huddle5.8% · #18

58.7% · #12Shotgun37.9% · #31

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

37.4% · #8Man coverage29.1% · #20

28.2% · #14Blitz (5+ rushers)20.7% · #30

29.6% · #19Pressure33.2% · #7

IND scheme profile →SEA scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Indianapolis Colts

A.J. HaulcySFull Participation in Practice
Adonai MitchellWide ReceiverOut
Alec PierceWRLimited Participation in Practice
Andrew OgletreeTEFull Participation in Practice
Anthony GouldWide ReceiverOut
Anthony RichardsonQBFull Participation in Practice
Bernhard RaimannOffensive TackleQuestionable
Blake FreelandOffensive TackleQuestionable
Braden SmithOffensive TackleQuestionable
Brett RypienQuarterbackOut
Cameron MitchellCornerbackQuestionable
Chad MumaLinebackerOut

Seattle Seahawks

AJ BarnerTEFull Participation in Practice
AJ FinleySafetyInjured Reserve
Amari KightOffensive TackleOut
Anthony BradfordGFull Participation in Practice
Brandon PiliDefensive TackleQuestionable
Cam AkersRunning BackOut
Charles CrossOffensive TackleQuestionable
Chazz SurrattLinebackerOut
Cody WhiteWide ReceiverQuestionable
Connor O'TooleLinebackerOut
Dareke YoungWide ReceiverOut
Derick HallLinebackerQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)