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Seattle Seahawks vs Washington Commanders

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Seahawks is the better survivor pick this week

Seahawks score 0.547 equity (77.1% win probability) against Commanders at 0.263 — a real gap of 0.284.

SEA team page →WAS team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs ARIOpponentvs LA

77.1%Win prob33.2%

0.547Equity score0.263

−8.5Spread11/11 books+4.5

39.5Game total48.5

▼ 0.001Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 3SEA @ WAS31-33 · WAS

All-time series: 16 meetings · SEA 7 — WAS 9. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1568.3ELO rating1466.6

#5ELO rank#22

4-4Record2-4-1

NFC WestDivisionNFC East

#2Division rank#3

L 17 · W +17 · L 3 · L 3 · W +7Last 5newest firstW +17 · L 6 · T 0 · L 17 · W +2

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

10.9 · #2vs QB20.0 · #25

22.2 · #18vs RB19.8 · #9

23.8 · #1vs WR33.6 · #18

10.1 · #4vs TE20.7 · #27

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.43 (2026)Sacks / game1.83 (2026)

11Pressures / game10

14-15Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows9-15

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

45.8% · #13Pre-snap motion42.3% · #18

10.7% · #20Play action11.9% · #11

1.9% · #28RPO6.3% · #12

2.6% · #29Screen pass3.7% · #16

5.8% · #18No huddle50.2% · #1

37.9% · #31Shotgun71.8% · #1

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

29.1% · #20Man coverage32.0% · #15

20.7% · #30Blitz (5+ rushers)27.5% · #16

33.2% · #7Pressure31.3% · #14

SEA scheme profile →WAS scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 8 · nflverse + highlightly

Seattle Seahawks

Anthony BradfordGQuestionable
Brady RussellFBFull Participation in Practice
Brandon PiliDTQuestionable
Byron Murphy IIDTFull Participation in Practice
Charles CrossTOut
Chazz SurrattLBFull Participation in Practice
Connor O'TooleLBFull Participation in Practice
DeMarcus LawrenceLBFull Participation in Practice
Drake ThomasLBFull Participation in Practice
Drew LockQBQuestionable
Jadarian PriceRBFull Participation in Practice
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWRFull Participation in Practice

Washington Commanders

Charles OmenihuDefensive EndOut
Colson YankoffTEFull Participation in Practice
Isaac YiadomCornerbackOut
Javon KinlawDefensive TackleQuestionable
Javontae Jean-BaptisteLinebackerInjured Reserve
Jayden DanielsQBFull Participation in Practice
Jer'Zhan NewtonDTFull Participation in Practice
John BatesTELimited Participation in Practice
Sam CosmiGLimited Participation in Practice
Shy TuttleDTLimited Participation in Practice
Stefon DiggsWRDid Not Participate In Practice
Terry McLaurinWide ReceiverOut

Relevant to this matchup

The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(mentions Seahawks)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)