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Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

49ers is the better survivor pick this week

49ers score 0.563 equity (79.6% win probability) against Seahawks at 0.548 — a real gap of 0.015.

SEA team page →SF team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs ARIOpponentvs LV

77.2%Win prob79.6%

0.548Equity score0.563

−8.5Spread11/11 books−10.0

39.5Game total52.5

= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▼ 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 5SF @ SEA32-29 · SF

Week 12SEA @ SFnot played yet

All-time series: 52 meetings · SEA 31 — SF 21. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1568.3ELO rating1575.5

#5ELO rank#3

4-4Record6-1

NFC WestDivisionNFC West

#2Division rank#1

L 17 · W +17 · L 3 · L 3 · W +7Last 5newest firstL 9 · W +6 · W +3 · W +10 · W +6

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

10.9 · #2vs QB—

22.2 · #18vs RB—

23.8 · #1vs WR—

10.1 · #4vs TE—

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.43 (2026)Sacks / game2.14 (2026)

11Pressures / game9.71

14-15Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows24-13

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

45.8% · #13Pre-snap motion55.1% · #2

10.7% · #20Play action10.8% · #17

1.9% · #28RPO0.6% · #31

2.6% · #29Screen pass3.0% · #23

5.8% · #18No huddle3.7% · #26

37.9% · #31Shotgun45.0% · #27

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

29.1% · #20Man coverage26.6% · #24

20.7% · #30Blitz (5+ rushers)22.6% · #25

33.2% · #7Pressure23.2% · #31

SEA scheme profile →SF scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 8 · nflverse + highlightly

Seattle Seahawks

Anthony BradfordGQuestionable
Brady RussellFBFull Participation in Practice
Brandon PiliDTQuestionable
Byron Murphy IIDTFull Participation in Practice
Charles CrossTOut
Chazz SurrattLBFull Participation in Practice
Connor O'TooleLBFull Participation in Practice
DeMarcus LawrenceLBFull Participation in Practice
Drake ThomasLBFull Participation in Practice
Drew LockQBQuestionable
Jadarian PriceRBFull Participation in Practice
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWRFull Participation in Practice

San Francisco 49ers

Christian KirkWRLimited Participation in Practice
Christian McCaffreyRBDid Not Participate In Practice
Deebo Samuel Sr.WRDid Not Participate In Practice
Demarcus RobinsonWRLimited Participation in Practice
Garret WallowLBLimited Participation in Practice
Kurtis RourkeQuarterbackOut
Luke GiffordLBLimited Participation in Practice
Marques SigleSLimited Participation in Practice
Mike EvansWRDid Not Participate In Practice
Mykel WilliamsDEFull Participation in Practice
Nate HobbsCBLimited Participation in Practice
Nick BosaDELimited Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

Why Divisional Games Are Riskier Than They Look(same division)
2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(mentions Seahawks)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: San Francisco 49ers Lead the Board(mentions 49ers)