NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

New Orleans Saints vs Seattle Seahawks

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Seahawks is the better survivor pick this week

Seahawks score 0.362 equity (47.4% win probability) against Saints at 0.250 — a real gap of 0.112.

NO team page →SEA team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ DETOpponentvs NE
26.8%Win prob47.4%
0.250Equity score0.362
+7.0Spread11/4 books−0.0
50.0Game total29.5
▼ 0.003Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.163

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 13 meetings · NO 6 — SEA 7. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1432.4ELO rating1630.6
#26ELO rank#1
6-11Record14-3
NFC SouthDivisionNFC West
#4Division rank#1
L 2 · W +8 · W +23 · W +3 · W +4Last 5newest firstW +16 · W +4 · W +35 · W +10 · W +17

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

14.0 · #8vs QB14.0 · #7
20.8 · #13vs RB19.0 · #4
27.8 · #12vs WR26.3 · #4
12.5 · #13vs TE14.7 · #21

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.59 (2025)Sacks / game2.8 (2025)
8.53Pressures / game11.3
4-11Primetime record2021–2024 standalone windows12-13

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

49.7% · #8Pre-snap motion45.8% · #13
9.6% · #25Play action10.7% · #20
4.7% · #15RPO1.9% · #28
2.7% · #26Screen pass2.6% · #29
18.7% · #2No huddle5.8% · #18
65.7% · #5Shotgun37.9% · #31

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

22.1% · #28Man coverage29.1% · #20
25.6% · #21Blitz (5+ rushers)20.7% · #30
28.2% · #24Pressure33.2% · #7
NO scheme profile →SEA scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

New Orleans Saints

  • Alontae TaylorCornerbackQuestionable
  • Alvin KamaraRBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Asim RichardsOffensive TackleQuestionable
  • Audric EstiméRBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Barry WesleyOffensive TackleOut
  • Bryan BreseeDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Bub MeansWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
  • Cameron JordanLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Cesar RuizGuardOut
  • Chase YoungDefensive EndOut
  • Chris OlaveWide ReceiverOut
  • Devaughn VeleWide ReceiverQuestionable

Seattle Seahawks

  • AJ BarnerTEFull Participation in Practice
  • AJ FinleySafetyInjured Reserve
  • Amari KightOffensive TackleOut
  • Anthony BradfordGFull Participation in Practice
  • Brandon PiliDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Cam AkersRunning BackOut
  • Charles CrossOffensive TackleQuestionable
  • Chazz SurrattLinebackerOut
  • Cody WhiteWide ReceiverQuestionable
  • Connor O'TooleLinebackerOut
  • Dareke YoungWide ReceiverOut
  • Derick HallLinebackerQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

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