NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

New Orleans Saints vs Seattle Seahawks

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Seahawks is the better survivor pick this week

Seahawks score 0.550 equity (77.4% win probability) against Saints at 0.464 — a real gap of 0.086.

NO team page →SEA team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs CLEOpponentvs ARI
60.2%Win prob77.4%
0.464Equity score0.550
−3.0Spread11/11 books−8.5
42.5Game total39.5
▲ 0.003Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 13 meetings · NO 6 — SEA 7. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1436.2ELO rating1568.3
#28ELO rank#5
2-5Record4-4
NFC SouthDivisionNFC West
#4Division rank#2
L 6 · W +7 · L 10 · L 21 · L 8Last 5newest firstL 17 · W +17 · L 3 · L 3 · W +7

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

—vs QB10.9 · #2
—vs RB22.2 · #18
—vs WR23.8 · #1
—vs TE10.1 · #4

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.57 (2026)Sacks / game2.43 (2026)
7.29Pressures / game11
4-12Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows14-15

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

49.7% · #8Pre-snap motion45.8% · #13
9.6% · #25Play action10.7% · #20
4.7% · #15RPO1.9% · #28
2.7% · #26Screen pass2.6% · #29
18.7% · #2No huddle5.8% · #18
65.7% · #5Shotgun37.9% · #31

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

22.1% · #28Man coverage29.1% · #20
25.6% · #21Blitz (5+ rushers)20.7% · #30
28.2% · #24Pressure33.2% · #7
NO scheme profile →SEA scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

New Orleans Saints

  • Alvin KamaraRBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Asim RichardsTLimited Participation in Practice
  • Cesar RuizGFull Participation in Practice
  • Christen MillerDefensive TackleOut
  • CJ DonaldsonRBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Davon GodchauxDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Decamerion RichardsonCornerbackOut
  • Jordyn TysonWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Justin ReidSFull Participation in Practice
  • Kelvin Banks Jr.TLimited Participation in Practice
  • Martin EmersonCBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Nathan ShepherdDTFull Participation in Practice

Seattle Seahawks

  • Anthony BradfordGQuestionable
  • Brady RussellFBFull Participation in Practice
  • Brandon PiliDTQuestionable
  • Byron Murphy IIDTFull Participation in Practice
  • Charles CrossTOut
  • Chazz SurrattLBFull Participation in Practice
  • Connor O'TooleLBFull Participation in Practice
  • DeMarcus LawrenceLBFull Participation in Practice
  • Drake ThomasLBFull Participation in Practice
  • Drew LockQBQuestionable
  • Jadarian PriceRBFull Participation in Practice
  • Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWRFull Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

Track your real pool free — 10-day trial, no card →