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Minnesota Vikings vs Seattle Seahawks

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Vikings is the better survivor pick this week

Vikings score 0.382 equity (53.0% win probability) against Seahawks at 0.362 — a real gap of 0.020.

MIN team page →SEA team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs GBOpponentvs NE

53.0%Win prob47.4%

0.382Equity score0.362

−1.5Spread11/4 books−0.0

46.5Game total29.5

▼ 0.002Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.163

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 15 meetings · MIN 5 — SEA 10. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1547.9ELO rating1630.6

#10ELO rank#1

9-8Record14-3

NFC NorthDivisionNFC West

#4Division rank#1

W +13 · W +13 · W +3 · W +8 · W +31Last 5newest firstW +16 · W +4 · W +35 · W +10 · W +17

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

11.1 · #1vs QB14.0 · #7

19.6 · #9vs RB19.0 · #4

23.7 · #1vs WR26.3 · #4

10.7 · #5vs TE14.7 · #21

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.88 (2025)Sacks / game2.8 (2025)

9.06Pressures / game11.3

11-13Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows12-13

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

41.3% · #23Pre-snap motion45.8% · #13

12.5% · #8Play action10.7% · #20

3.7% · #20RPO1.9% · #28

4.2% · #10Screen pass2.6% · #29

6.1% · #15No huddle5.8% · #18

45.6% · #26Shotgun37.9% · #31

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

19.0% · #32Man coverage29.1% · #20

46.2% · #1Blitz (5+ rushers)20.7% · #30

34.1% · #4Pressure33.2% · #7

MIN scheme profile →SEA scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Minnesota Vikings

Aaron Jones Sr.Running BackQuestionable
Adam ThielenWide ReceiverOut
Andrew Van GinkelLinebackerOut
Austin KeysLinebackerOut
Ben SimsTight EndOut
Ben YurosekTight EndOut
Brett RypienQuarterbackOut
Brian O'NeillOffensive TackleOut
Caleb TiernanTLimited Participation in Practice
Chaz ChamblissLinebackerOut
Christian DarrisawOffensive TackleOut
Corey KinerRunning BackOut

Seattle Seahawks

AJ BarnerTEFull Participation in Practice
AJ FinleySafetyInjured Reserve
Amari KightOffensive TackleOut
Anthony BradfordGFull Participation in Practice
Brandon PiliDefensive TackleQuestionable
Cam AkersRunning BackOut
Charles CrossOffensive TackleQuestionable
Chazz SurrattLinebackerOut
Cody WhiteWide ReceiverQuestionable
Connor O'TooleLinebackerOut
Dareke YoungWide ReceiverOut
Derick HallLinebackerQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)