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Miami Dolphins vs Seattle Seahawks

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Seahawks is the better survivor pick this week

Seahawks score 0.362 equity (47.4% win probability) against Dolphins at 0.324 — a real gap of 0.038.

MIA team page →SEA team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ LVOpponentvs NE

39.8%Win prob47.4%

0.324Equity score0.362

+3.0Spread11/4 books−0.0

40.5Game total29.5

▼ 0.002Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.163

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 9 meetings · MIA 5 — SEA 4. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1475.1ELO rating1630.6

#21ELO rank#1

7-10Record14-3

AFC EastDivisionNFC West

#3Division rank#1

L 28 · W +3 · L 24 · L 13 · W +24Last 5newest firstW +16 · W +4 · W +35 · W +10 · W +17

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

18.2 · #23vs QB14.0 · #7

25.5 · #26vs RB19.0 · #4

29.9 · #14vs WR26.3 · #4

16.2 · #28vs TE14.7 · #21

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.29 (2025)Sacks / game2.8 (2025)

7.65Pressures / game11.3

7-13Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows12-13

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

55.9% · #1Pre-snap motion45.8% · #13

12.9% · #6Play action10.7% · #20

4.4% · #16RPO1.9% · #28

5.2% · #4Screen pass2.6% · #29

3.1% · #28No huddle5.8% · #18

57.9% · #13Shotgun37.9% · #31

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

28.4% · #21Man coverage29.1% · #20

33.1% · #5Blitz (5+ rushers)20.7% · #30

27.2% · #28Pressure33.2% · #7

MIA scheme profile →SEA scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Miami Dolphins

A.J. GreenCornerbackOut
AJ HenningWide ReceiverQuestionable
Alec IngoldFullbackQuestionable
Alexander MattisonRunning BackInjured Reserve
Andre Carter IILinebackerOut
Ashtyn DavisSafetyOut
Austin JacksonGuardOut
Benito JonesDefensive TackleQuestionable
Caleb JohnsonLinebackerQuestionable
Cedrick Wilson Jr.Wide ReceiverOut
Chop RobinsonLinebackerOut
Cornell ArmstrongCornerbackQuestionable

Seattle Seahawks

AJ BarnerTEFull Participation in Practice
AJ FinleySafetyInjured Reserve
Amari KightOffensive TackleOut
Anthony BradfordGFull Participation in Practice
Brandon PiliDefensive TackleQuestionable
Cam AkersRunning BackOut
Charles CrossOffensive TackleQuestionable
Chazz SurrattLinebackerOut
Cody WhiteWide ReceiverQuestionable
Connor O'TooleLinebackerOut
Dareke YoungWide ReceiverOut
Derick HallLinebackerQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)