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Kansas City Chiefs vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Only Chiefs is priced this week

Steelers are on bye for this week, so Chiefs is the only side of this comparison with a real survivor number.

KC team page →PIT team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs NYJOpponentbye / not scheduled

80.3%Win prob—

0.561Equity score—

−10.0Spread11/0 books—

47.5Game total—

▼ 0.001Equity trendsince previous stored snapshotsingle snapshot

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 16 meetings · KC 8 — PIT 8. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1540.3ELO rating1548.0

#12ELO rank#8

5-2Record6-2

AFC WestDivisionAFC North

#2Division rank#1

L 4 · L 17 · W +16 · W +3 · W +14Last 5newest firstW +21 · W +6 · W +7 · W +12 · L 3

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

13.1 · #6vs QB12.1 · #4

20.2 · #12vs RB20.2 · #11

25.1 · #2vs WR28.9 · #10

17.8 · #24vs TE12.7 · #11

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.17 (2026)Sacks / game2.57 (2026)

8.5Pressures / game7.14

37-13Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows15-19

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

39.9% · #26Pre-snap motion43.4% · #16

8.1% · #32Play action9.2% · #27

11.5% · #1RPO7.0% · #10

4.7% · #7Screen pass6.6% · #1

2.4% · #32No huddle9.7% · #7

67.6% · #2Shotgun54.2% · #17

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

37.0% · #9Man coverage36.9% · #10

33.6% · #4Blitz (5+ rushers)31.4% · #8

33.6% · #6Pressure29.5% · #20

KC scheme profile →PIT scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Kansas City Chiefs

Chamarri ConnerSafetyOut
Drue TranquillLBFull Participation in Practice
Jeff CaldwellWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
Jimmy HolidayWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
Josh SimmonsOffensive TackleOut
Mansoor DelaneCBLimited Participation in Practice
Nick BoltonLBFull Participation in Practice
Nikko RemigioWRLimited Participation in Practice
Omarr Norman-LottDTLimited Participation in Practice
Patrick MahomesQBFull Participation in Practice
Peter WoodsDTDid Not Participate In Practice
Rashee RiceWRLimited Participation in Practice

Pittsburgh Steelers

Alex HighsmithLBFull Participation in Practice
Ben SkowronekWRQuestionable
Brandin EcholsCBOut
Cameron HeywardDTFull Participation in Practice
Darnell WashingtonTEFull Participation in Practice
DeShon ElliottSafetyInjured Reserve
Doneiko SlaughterCBOut
Gennings DunkerGuardInjured Reserve
Jalen RamseyCBFull Participation in Practice
Jamel DeanCornerbackOut
Michael Pittman Jr.Wide ReceiverInjured Reserve
Rico DowdleRunning BackQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Lead the Board(mentions Chiefs)