NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Chiefs is the better survivor pick this week

Chiefs score 0.560 equity (80.2% win probability) against Eagles at 0.304 — a real gap of 0.256.

KC team page →PHI team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs NYJOpponentvs NYG
80.2%Win prob39.0%
0.560Equity score0.304
−10.0Spread11/11 books+3.0
47.5Game total38.5
= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.007

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 10 meetings · KC 4 — PHI 6. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1540.3ELO rating1503.0
#12ELO rank#17
5-2Record2-6
AFC WestDivisionNFC East
#2Division rank#4
L 4 · L 17 · W +16 · W +3 · W +14Last 5newest firstL 17 · L 17 · L 11 · L 2 · L 4

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

13.1 · #6vs QB19.0 · #21
20.2 · #12vs RB21.5 · #15
25.1 · #2vs WR39.4 · #27
17.8 · #24vs TE9.6 · #3

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.17 (2026)Sacks / game1.14 (2026)
8.5Pressures / game7.43
37-13Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows19-16

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

39.9% · #26Pre-snap motion36.4% · #28
8.1% · #32Play action10.1% · #23
11.5% · #1RPO5.4% · #14
4.7% · #7Screen pass2.1% · #32
2.4% · #32No huddle15.9% · #4
67.6% · #2Shotgun62.9% · #7

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

37.0% · #9Man coverage43.5% · #3
33.6% · #4Blitz (5+ rushers)19.7% · #31
33.6% · #6Pressure32.8% · #8
KC scheme profile →PHI scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 8 · nflverse + highlightly

Kansas City Chiefs

  • Chamarri ConnerSafetyOut
  • Creed HumphreyCFull Participation in Practice
  • Drue TranquillLBFull Participation in Practice
  • Jaylon MooreTFull Participation in Practice
  • Jeff CaldwellWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
  • Jimmy HolidayWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
  • Josh SimmonsOffensive TackleOut
  • Kahlil BensonTFull Participation in Practice
  • L'Jarius SneedCBQuestionable
  • Mansoor DelaneCBQuestionable
  • Nick BoltonLBFull Participation in Practice
  • Omarr Norman-LottDTOut

Philadelphia Eagles

  • AJ EpenesaDefensive EndOut
  • Arnold EbiketieLBFull Participation in Practice
  • Britain CoveyWROut
  • Cole PaytonQuarterbackOut
  • Dallas GoedertTEFull Participation in Practice
  • DeVonta SmithWROut
  • Dontayvion WicksWROut
  • Drew KendallCFull Participation in Practice
  • Fred JohnsonOffensive TackleOut
  • Hollywood BrownWide ReceiverOut
  • Jakorian BennettCBQuestionable
  • Jalyx HuntLBLimited Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

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