NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Kansas City Chiefs vs New York Jets

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Chiefs play Jets in Week 9

They face each other, so only one can be used this week. On real de-vigged market prices KC carries the higher survivor equity score.

KC team page →NYJ team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs NYJOpponent@ KC
80.4%Win prob19.6%
0.562Equity score0.188
−10.0Spread11/11 books+10.0
47.5Game total47.5
▲ 0.002Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▼ 0.002

Head-to-head this week

week 9 · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

Matchup
NYJ @ KC
Spread (home)
−10.0 (11 books)
Total
47.5 (11 books)
Kickoff
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 18:00

Opened KC −9.8, now KC −10.0 · moved 0.3 toward KC · Total 42.0 → 47.5 (+5.5)(243 snapshots)

Forecast: 60.2°F · wind 4.0 mph · 0% precip · Clear

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 9NYJ @ KCnot played yet

All-time series: 11 meetings · KC 6 — NYJ 5. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1540.3ELO rating1393.2
#12ELO rank#31
5-2Record2-6
AFC WestDivisionAFC East
#2Division rank#3
L 4 · L 17 · W +16 · W +3 · W +14Last 5newest firstL 5 · L 3 · L 7 · W +5 · L 11

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

13.1 · #6vs QB18.0 · #16
20.2 · #12vs RB21.8 · #17
25.1 · #2vs WR28.8 · #9
17.8 · #24vs TE13.9 · #16

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.17 (2026)Sacks / game2.71 (2026)
8.5Pressures / game8.71
37-13Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows3-12

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

39.9% · #26Pre-snap motion49.8% · #7
8.1% · #32Play action8.6% · #29
11.5% · #1RPO7.1% · #8
4.7% · #7Screen pass3.4% · #17
2.4% · #32No huddle8.1% · #10
67.6% · #2Shotgun59.8% · #8

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

37.0% · #9Man coverage40.5% · #6
33.6% · #4Blitz (5+ rushers)28.3% · #13
33.6% · #6Pressure24.8% · #30
KC scheme profile →NYJ scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Kansas City Chiefs

  • Chamarri ConnerSafetyOut
  • Drue TranquillLBFull Participation in Practice
  • Jeff CaldwellWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
  • Jimmy HolidayWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
  • Josh SimmonsOffensive TackleOut
  • Mansoor DelaneCBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Nick BoltonLBFull Participation in Practice
  • Nikko RemigioWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Omarr Norman-LottDTLimited Participation in Practice
  • Patrick MahomesQBFull Participation in Practice
  • Peter WoodsDTDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Rashee RiceWRLimited Participation in Practice

New York Jets

  • Adonai MitchellWide ReceiverOut
  • Allen LazardWide ReceiverOut
  • Andre CiscoSafetyQuestionable
  • Arian SmithWide ReceiverOut
  • Azareye'h ThomasCornerbackQuestionable
  • Braelon AllenRunning BackOut
  • Breece HallRBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Bump CooperCornerbackInjured Reserve
  • Byron CowartDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Cam JonesLinebackerOut
  • Chris Smith IISafetyOut
  • David BaileyDELimited Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

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