Compare

Kansas City Chiefs vs New York Giants

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Chiefs is the better survivor pick this week

Chiefs score 0.403 equity (56.1% win probability) against Giants at 0.323 — a real gap of 0.081.

KC team page →NYG team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs DENOpponentvs DAL

56.1%Win prob40.6%

0.403Equity score0.323

−2.5Spread11/11 books+3.0

43.5Game total48.0

= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▼ 0.001

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 7 meetings · KC 3 — NYG 4. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1519.9ELO rating1390.8

#16ELO rank#28

6-11Record4-13

AFC WestDivisionNFC East

#3Division rank#4

L 2 · L 7 · L 17 · L 3 · L 10Last 5newest firstW +17 · W +24 · L 3 · L 8 · L 18

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

15.1 · #13vs QB18.3 · #25

19.4 · #6vs RB25.8 · #29

27.3 · #10vs WR33.7 · #24

11.0 · #7vs TE11.4 · #8

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.06 (2025)Sacks / game2.24 (2025)

7.88Pressures / game8.41

35-12Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows3-18

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

39.9% · #26Pre-snap motion30.8% · #32

8.1% · #32Play action10.8% · #18

11.5% · #1RPO9.3% · #2

4.7% · #7Screen pass3.1% · #20

2.4% · #32No huddle17.4% · #3

67.6% · #2Shotgun64.8% · #6

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

37.0% · #9Man coverage40.3% · #7

33.6% · #4Blitz (5+ rushers)30.5% · #9

33.6% · #6Pressure30.2% · #17

KC scheme profile →NYG scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Kansas City Chiefs

Ashton GillotteDEFull Participation in Practice
Chamarri ConnerSDid Not Participate In Practice
Chris Roland-WallaceCornerbackOut
Dameon PierceRunning BackOut
Deon BushSafetyQuestionable
Derrick NnadiDefensive TackleOut
Elijah MitchellRunning BackOut
Ethan DriskellOffensive TackleQuestionable
Felix Anudike-UzomahDefensive EndInjured Reserve
Gardner MinshewQuarterbackOut
George KarlaftisDefensive EndOut
Hollywood BrownWide ReceiverQuestionable

New York Giants

Andrew ThomasTFull Participation in Practice
Anthony Johnson Jr.SafetyOut
Art GreenCornerbackQuestionable
Bryan HudsonCFull Participation in Practice
Bryce Ford-WheatonWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
Cam SkatteboRunning BackOut
Chris BoardLinebackerQuestionable
Cor'Dale FlottCornerbackOut
Daniel BellingerTight EndQuestionable
Dante MillerRunning BackOut
Darius AlexanderDefensive TackleOut
Darius MuasauLinebackerQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)