NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Kansas City Chiefs vs New York Giants

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Chiefs is the better survivor pick this week

Chiefs score 0.561 equity (80.3% win probability) against Giants at 0.439 — a real gap of 0.123.

KC team page →NYG team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs NYJOpponent@ PHI
80.3%Win prob61.1%
0.561Equity score0.439
−10.0Spread11/11 books−3.0
47.5Game total38.5
▼ 0.001Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 7 meetings · KC 3 — NYG 4. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1540.3ELO rating1450.6
#12ELO rank#25
5-2Record4-2-1
AFC WestDivisionNFC East
#2Division rank#1
L 4 · L 17 · W +16 · W +3 · W +14Last 5newest firstW +6 · L 7 · T 0 · W +12 · W +5

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

13.1 · #6vs QB—
20.2 · #12vs RB—
25.1 · #2vs WR—
17.8 · #24vs TE—

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.17 (2026)Sacks / game1.29 (2026)
8.5Pressures / game6.43
37-13Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows4-19

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

39.9% · #26Pre-snap motion30.8% · #32
8.1% · #32Play action10.8% · #18
11.5% · #1RPO9.3% · #2
4.7% · #7Screen pass3.1% · #20
2.4% · #32No huddle17.4% · #3
67.6% · #2Shotgun64.8% · #6

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

37.0% · #9Man coverage40.3% · #7
33.6% · #4Blitz (5+ rushers)30.5% · #9
33.6% · #6Pressure30.2% · #17
KC scheme profile →NYG scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Kansas City Chiefs

  • Chamarri ConnerSafetyOut
  • Drue TranquillLBFull Participation in Practice
  • Jeff CaldwellWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
  • Jimmy HolidayWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
  • Josh SimmonsOffensive TackleOut
  • Mansoor DelaneCBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Nick BoltonLBFull Participation in Practice
  • Nikko RemigioWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Omarr Norman-LottDTLimited Participation in Practice
  • Patrick MahomesQBFull Participation in Practice
  • Peter WoodsDTDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Rashee RiceWRLimited Participation in Practice

New York Giants

  • Abdul CarterLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Andrew ThomasTLimited Participation in Practice
  • Bobby Jamison-TravisDefensive TackleOut
  • Brian BurnsLinebackerQuestionable
  • Cam SkatteboRBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Charlie JonesWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Colton HoodCBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Deonte BanksCornerbackOut
  • DJ ReaderDTFull Participation in Practice
  • Jason PinnockSafetyOut
  • Jaxson DartQuarterbackOut
  • Jermaine EluemunorTLimited Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

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