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Indianapolis Colts vs New York Giants

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Giants is the better survivor pick this week

Giants score 0.442 equity (60.9% win probability) against Colts at 0.274 — a real gap of 0.168.

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs DALOpponent@ PHI
32.0%Win prob60.9%
0.274Equity score0.442
+5.5Spread11/11 books−3.0
51.5Game total38.5
= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 12NYG @ INDnot played yet

All-time series: 8 meetings · IND 5 — NYG 3. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1450.6ELO rating1450.6
#26ELO rank#25
2-6Record4-2-1
AFC SouthDivisionNFC East
#3Division rank#1
L 35 · L 6 · L 6 · L 12 · W +17Last 5newest firstW +6 · L 7 · T 0 · W +12 · W +5

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

18.0 · #17vs QB—
24.8 · #20vs RB—
27.4 · #6vs WR—
14.4 · #18vs TE—

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.86 (2026)Sacks / game1.29 (2026)
6.57Pressures / game6.43
6-9Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows4-19

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

42.6% · #17Pre-snap motion30.8% · #32
13.6% · #4Play action10.8% · #18
7.2% · #7RPO9.3% · #2
2.7% · #28Screen pass3.1% · #20
4.7% · #21No huddle17.4% · #3
58.7% · #12Shotgun64.8% · #6

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

37.4% · #8Man coverage40.3% · #7
28.2% · #14Blitz (5+ rushers)30.5% · #9
29.6% · #19Pressure30.2% · #17

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Indianapolis Colts

  • Adonai MitchellWide ReceiverOut
  • Akeem Davis-GaitherLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Alec PierceWide ReceiverOut
  • Andrew OgletreeTEDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Anthony GouldWRFull Participation in Practice
  • Anthony Richardson Sr.QuarterbackOut
  • Bernhard RaimannOffensive TackleQuestionable
  • Blake FreelandOffensive TackleQuestionable
  • Braden SmithOffensive TackleQuestionable
  • Brett RypienQuarterbackOut
  • Bryce BoettcherLBFull Participation in Practice
  • Cameron MitchellCornerbackQuestionable

New York Giants

  • Abdul CarterLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Andrew ThomasTLimited Participation in Practice
  • Bobby Jamison-TravisDefensive TackleOut
  • Brian BurnsLinebackerQuestionable
  • Cam SkatteboRBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Charlie JonesWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Colton HoodCBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Deonte BanksCornerbackOut
  • DJ ReaderDTFull Participation in Practice
  • Jason PinnockSafetyOut
  • Jaxson DartQuarterbackOut
  • Jermaine EluemunorTLimited Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

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