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Indianapolis Colts vs Minnesota Vikings
Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.
Week 9 verdict
Vikings is the better survivor pick this week
Vikings score 0.316 equity (39.0% win probability) against Colts at 0.274 — a real gap of 0.043.
This week
2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores
Season series
2026 scheduled meetings
All-time series: 9 meetings · IND 6 — MIN 3. See the full head-to-head history →
Power rating & record
elo through 2026 · week 9
Defense vs position
ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher
Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only
tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market
Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.
Scheme tendencies — offense
ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate
Scheme tendencies — defense
nflverse participation · 2025 season
Injury report
2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly
Indianapolis Colts
- Adonai MitchellWide ReceiverOut
- Akeem Davis-GaitherLBDid Not Participate In Practice
- Alec PierceWide ReceiverOut
- Andrew OgletreeTEDid Not Participate In Practice
- Anthony GouldWRFull Participation in Practice
- Anthony Richardson Sr.QuarterbackOut
- Bernhard RaimannOffensive TackleQuestionable
- Blake FreelandOffensive TackleQuestionable
- Braden SmithOffensive TackleQuestionable
- Brett RypienQuarterbackOut
- Bryce BoettcherLBFull Participation in Practice
- Cameron MitchellCornerbackQuestionable
Minnesota Vikings
- Aaron JonesRBFull Participation in Practice
- Adam ThielenWide ReceiverOut
- Andrew Van GinkelLinebackerOut
- Austin KeysLinebackerOut
- Ben SimsTight EndOut
- Ben YurosekTight EndOut
- Brett RypienQuarterbackOut
- Brian O'NeillTFull Participation in Practice
- Chaz ChamblissLinebackerOut
- Christian DarrisawTDid Not Participate In Practice
- Corey KinerRunning BackOut
- Desmond RidderQuarterbackOut
Relevant to this matchup
- The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
- 2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
- 2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
- 2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)