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Indianapolis Colts vs Los Angeles Rams

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Rams is the better survivor pick this week

Rams score 0.482 equity (66.7% win probability) against Colts at 0.274 — a real gap of 0.208.

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs DALOpponent@ WAS
32.0%Win prob66.7%
0.274Equity score0.482
+5.5Spread11/11 books−4.5
51.5Game total48.5
= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 8 meetings · IND 2 — LA 6. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1450.6ELO rating1543.5
#26ELO rank#10
2-6Record4-4
AFC SouthDivisionNFC West
#3Division rank#3
L 35 · L 6 · L 6 · L 12 · W +17Last 5newest firstW +15 · W +14 · L 2 · L 3 · W +4

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

18.0 · #17vs QB16.0 · #12
24.8 · #20vs RB19.9 · #10
27.4 · #6vs WR26.8 · #5
14.4 · #18vs TE10.6 · #6

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.86 (2026)Sacks / game1.43 (2026)
6.57Pressures / game7.57
6-9Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows17-17

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

42.6% · #17Pre-snap motion50.6% · #4
13.6% · #4Play action15.8% · #1
7.2% · #7RPO0.4% · #32
2.7% · #28Screen pass3.0% · #21
4.7% · #21No huddle6.0% · #17
58.7% · #12Shotgun34.8% · #32

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

37.4% · #8Man coverage27.0% · #23
28.2% · #14Blitz (5+ rushers)20.8% · #29
29.6% · #19Pressure32.1% · #9

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Indianapolis Colts

  • Adonai MitchellWide ReceiverOut
  • Akeem Davis-GaitherLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Alec PierceWide ReceiverOut
  • Andrew OgletreeTEDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Anthony GouldWRFull Participation in Practice
  • Anthony Richardson Sr.QuarterbackOut
  • Bernhard RaimannOffensive TackleQuestionable
  • Blake FreelandOffensive TackleQuestionable
  • Braden SmithOffensive TackleQuestionable
  • Brett RypienQuarterbackOut
  • Bryce BoettcherLBFull Participation in Practice
  • Cameron MitchellCornerbackQuestionable

Los Angeles Rams

  • Bill MurrayGuardOut
  • CJ DanielsWide ReceiverOut
  • Colby ParkinsonTEDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Grant StuardLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Jaylen WatsonCBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Joe CardonaLSDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Jordan WhittingtonWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Josaiah StewartLinebackerQuestionable
  • Kam CurlSDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Kamren KinchensSafetyOut
  • Larrell MurchisonDefensive EndOut
  • Matthew StaffordQBFull Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

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