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Green Bay Packers vs Indianapolis Colts

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Packers is the better survivor pick this week

Packers score 0.300 equity (39.5% win probability) against Colts at 0.268 — a real gap of 0.032.

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ NEOpponentvs DAL
39.5%Win prob32.0%
0.300Equity score0.268
+3.0Spread11/11 books+5.5
45.5Game total51.5
▲ 0.009Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 7 meetings · GB 3 — IND 4. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1531.1ELO rating1450.6
#13ELO rank#26
5-3Record2-6
NFC NorthDivisionAFC South
#4Division rank#3
W +8 · L 3 · W +10 · W +24 · W +3Last 5newest firstL 35 · L 6 · L 6 · L 12 · W +17

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

12.6 · #5vs QB18.0 · #17
25.5 · #23vs RB24.8 · #20
35.0 · #22vs WR27.4 · #6
9.0 · #2vs TE14.4 · #18

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.75 (2026)Sacks / game1.86 (2026)
9.38Pressures / game6.57
19-16-1Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows6-9

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

44.1% · #15Pre-snap motion42.6% · #17
11.7% · #12Play action13.6% · #4
7.9% · #4RPO7.2% · #7
3.3% · #18Screen pass2.7% · #28
7.2% · #14No huddle4.7% · #21
52.2% · #21Shotgun58.7% · #12

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

21.2% · #31Man coverage37.4% · #8
21.9% · #28Blitz (5+ rushers)28.2% · #14
30.7% · #16Pressure29.6% · #19

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Green Bay Packers

  • Aaron BanksGLimited Participation in Practice
  • Chris BrooksRBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Christian WatsonWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Devonte WyattDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Javon HargraveDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Jayden ReedWide ReceiverOut
  • Josh WhyleTEDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Keisean NixonCBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Matthew GoldenWide ReceiverQuestionable
  • Micah ParsonsLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Sean RhyanCDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Travis GloverGDid Not Participate In Practice

Indianapolis Colts

  • Adonai MitchellWide ReceiverOut
  • Akeem Davis-GaitherLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Alec PierceWide ReceiverOut
  • Andrew OgletreeTEDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Anthony GouldWRFull Participation in Practice
  • Anthony Richardson Sr.QuarterbackOut
  • Bernhard RaimannOffensive TackleQuestionable
  • Blake FreelandOffensive TackleQuestionable
  • Braden SmithOffensive TackleQuestionable
  • Brett RypienQuarterbackOut
  • Bryce BoettcherLBFull Participation in Practice
  • Cameron MitchellCornerbackQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

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