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Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Seahawks is the better survivor pick this week

Seahawks score 0.550 equity (77.4% win probability) against Bears at 0.500 — a real gap of 0.050.

CHI team page →SEA team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs TBOpponentvs ARI

70.6%Win prob77.4%

0.500Equity score0.550

−6.0Spread11/11 books−8.5

47.5Game total39.5

= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 8CHI @ SEA34-17 · CHI

All-time series: 15 meetings · CHI 7 — SEA 8. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1546.5ELO rating1568.3

#9ELO rank#5

6-2Record4-4

NFC NorthDivisionNFC West

#2Division rank#2

W +17 · W +6 · W +8 · L 24 · W +11Last 5newest firstL 17 · W +17 · L 3 · L 3 · W +7

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

19.1 · #22vs QB10.9 · #2

17.8 · #3vs RB22.2 · #18

31.2 · #15vs WR23.8 · #1

12.0 · #9vs TE10.1 · #4

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.71 (2026)Sacks / game2.43 (2026)

9Pressures / game11

12-15Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows14-15

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

47.2% · #10Pre-snap motion45.8% · #13

14.7% · #2Play action10.7% · #20

3.6% · #22RPO1.9% · #28

4.1% · #13Screen pass2.6% · #29

4.3% · #24No huddle5.8% · #18

44.2% · #28Shotgun37.9% · #31

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

43.8% · #2Man coverage29.1% · #20

28.7% · #11Blitz (5+ rushers)20.7% · #30

28.7% · #23Pressure33.2% · #7

CHI scheme profile →SEA scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 8 · nflverse + highlightly

Chicago Bears

Anthony Johnson Jr.SafetyInjured Reserve
Braxton JonesOffensive TackleDoubtful
Caleb WilliamsQuarterbackQuestionable
Case KeenumQuarterbackOut
Colston LovelandTEFull Participation in Practice
D'Marco JacksonLBQuestionable
Grady JarrettDefensive EndDoubtful
Jack SanbornLBFull Participation in Practice
Jamree KromahDefensive EndOut
Jordan van den BergDefensive TackleOut
Kentavius StreetDefensive TackleQuestionable
Keyshaun ElliottLinebackerOut

Seattle Seahawks

Anthony BradfordGQuestionable
Brady RussellFBFull Participation in Practice
Brandon PiliDTQuestionable
Byron Murphy IIDTFull Participation in Practice
Charles CrossTOut
Chazz SurrattLBFull Participation in Practice
Connor O'TooleLBFull Participation in Practice
DeMarcus LawrenceLBFull Participation in Practice
Drake ThomasLBFull Participation in Practice
Drew LockQBQuestionable
Jadarian PriceRBFull Participation in Practice
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWRFull Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(mentions Seahawks)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)