NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Baltimore Ravens vs Seattle Seahawks

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Ravens is the better survivor pick this week

Ravens score 0.419 equity (61.4% win probability) against Seahawks at 0.362 — a real gap of 0.058.

BAL team page →SEA team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ INDOpponentvs NE
61.4%Win prob47.4%
0.419Equity score0.362
−3.5Spread11/4 books−0.0
48.0Game total29.5
▼ 0.006Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.163

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 6 meetings · BAL 3 — SEA 3. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1535.9ELO rating1630.6
#12ELO rank#1
8-9Record14-3
AFC NorthDivisionNFC West
#2Division rank#1
L 2 · W +17 · L 4 · W +24 · L 5Last 5newest firstW +16 · W +4 · W +35 · W +10 · W +17

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

17.7 · #21vs QB14.0 · #7
23.7 · #23vs RB19.0 · #4
35.7 · #30vs WR26.3 · #4
10.9 · #6vs TE14.7 · #21

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.76 (2025)Sacks / game2.8 (2025)
7.65Pressures / game11.3
22-13Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows12-13

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

41.8% · #21Pre-snap motion45.8% · #13
8.9% · #28Play action10.7% · #20
4.4% · #17RPO1.9% · #28
2.8% · #24Screen pass2.6% · #29
2.7% · #30No huddle5.8% · #18
52.4% · #20Shotgun37.9% · #31

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

32.9% · #13Man coverage29.1% · #20
23.7% · #22Blitz (5+ rushers)20.7% · #30
28.1% · #25Pressure33.2% · #7
BAL scheme profile →SEA scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Baltimore Ravens

  • Adisa IsaacLinebackerQuestionable
  • Aeneas PeeblesDefensive TackleOut
  • Bilhal KoneCornerbackInjured Reserve
  • Carson VinsonOffensive TackleOut
  • Chidobe AwuzieCornerbackQuestionable
  • Cooper RushQuarterbackOut
  • Dayton WadeWide ReceiverQuestionable
  • DeAndre HopkinsWide ReceiverQuestionable
  • Devontez WalkerWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Emery Jones Jr.Offensive TackleOut
  • Isaiah LikelyTight EndQuestionable
  • Jaire AlexanderCornerbackOut

Seattle Seahawks

  • AJ BarnerTEFull Participation in Practice
  • AJ FinleySafetyInjured Reserve
  • Amari KightOffensive TackleOut
  • Anthony BradfordGFull Participation in Practice
  • Brandon PiliDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Cam AkersRunning BackOut
  • Charles CrossOffensive TackleQuestionable
  • Chazz SurrattLinebackerOut
  • Cody WhiteWide ReceiverQuestionable
  • Connor O'TooleLinebackerOut
  • Dareke YoungWide ReceiverOut
  • Derick HallLinebackerQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

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