NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Baltimore Ravens vs Indianapolis Colts

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Ravens play Colts in Week 1

They face each other, so only one can be used this week. On real de-vigged market prices BAL carries the higher survivor equity score.

BAL team page →IND team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ INDOpponentvs BAL
61.4%Win prob38.6%
0.419Equity score0.331
−3.5Spread11/11 books+3.5
48.0Game total48.0
▼ 0.006Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.006

Head-to-head this week

week 1 · Lucas Oil Stadium

Matchup
BAL @ IND
Spread (home)
+3.5 (11 books)
Total
48.0 (11 books)
Kickoff
Sun, 13 Sep 2026 17:00

Opened IND +3.5, now IND +3.5 · no spread move yet · Total 48.5 → 48.0 (−0.5)(87 snapshots)

No in-horizon weather forecast stored for this game yet.

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 1BAL @ INDnot played yet

All-time series: 16 meetings · BAL 6 — IND 10. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1535.9ELO rating1471.9
#12ELO rank#23
8-9Record8-9
AFC NorthDivisionAFC South
#2Division rank#3
L 2 · W +17 · L 4 · W +24 · L 5Last 5newest firstL 8 · L 6 · L 21 · L 2 · L 17

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

17.7 · #21vs QB16.9 · #18
23.7 · #23vs RB20.0 · #10
35.7 · #30vs WR36.1 · #31
10.9 · #6vs TE15.2 · #25

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.76 (2025)Sacks / game2.29 (2025)
7.65Pressures / game9.88
22-13Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows6-8

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

41.8% · #21Pre-snap motion42.6% · #17
8.9% · #28Play action13.6% · #4
4.4% · #17RPO7.2% · #7
2.8% · #24Screen pass2.7% · #28
2.7% · #30No huddle4.7% · #21
52.4% · #20Shotgun58.7% · #12

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

32.9% · #13Man coverage37.4% · #8
23.7% · #22Blitz (5+ rushers)28.2% · #14
28.1% · #25Pressure29.6% · #19
BAL scheme profile →IND scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Baltimore Ravens

  • Adisa IsaacLinebackerQuestionable
  • Aeneas PeeblesDefensive TackleOut
  • Bilhal KoneCornerbackInjured Reserve
  • Carson VinsonOffensive TackleOut
  • Chidobe AwuzieCornerbackQuestionable
  • Cooper RushQuarterbackOut
  • Dayton WadeWide ReceiverQuestionable
  • DeAndre HopkinsWide ReceiverQuestionable
  • Devontez WalkerWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Emery Jones Jr.Offensive TackleOut
  • Isaiah LikelyTight EndQuestionable
  • Jaire AlexanderCornerbackOut

Indianapolis Colts

  • A.J. HaulcySLimited Participation in Practice
  • Adonai MitchellWide ReceiverOut
  • Alec PierceWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Andrew OgletreeTELimited Participation in Practice
  • Anthony GouldWide ReceiverOut
  • Anthony Richardson Sr.QuarterbackOut
  • Bernhard RaimannOffensive TackleQuestionable
  • Blake FreelandOffensive TackleQuestionable
  • Braden SmithOffensive TackleQuestionable
  • Brett RypienQuarterbackOut
  • Cameron MitchellCornerbackQuestionable
  • Chad MumaLinebackerOut

Relevant to this matchup

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