Officials / Head referee

Adrian Hill

Games worked
112
Seasons
2019–2025
Penalties / game
12.43
vs league mean
+0.67

Penalty rate by season

Accepted penalties per game, from play-by-play data. Seasons before 2020 have no play-by-play coverage in this database, so no rate is shown for them.

202515 gm
14.20
202416 gm
13.63
202317 gm
11.35
202217 gm
11.35
202116 gm
12.31
202016 gm
12.00
201915 gm

Recent games

SeasonWkMatchupScorePen
202519GB @ CHI27–319
202518DAL @ NYG17–3416
202517NO @ TEN34–2610
202515IND @ SEA16–188
202512BUF @ HOU19–2311
202511KC @ DEN19–2220
202510NYG @ CHI20–2413
20259ARI @ DAL27–178
20257LA @ JAX35–717
20256NE @ NO25–1919
20255DEN @ PHI21–1721
20254CHI @ LV25–2413
20253NYJ @ TB27–2921
20252ATL @ MIN22–613
20251CIN @ CLE17–1614
202418NO @ TB19–2720
202417DEN @ CIN24–3010
202416ARI @ CAR30–3620
202415BUF @ DET48–4211
202413IND @ NE25–249
202412TB @ NYG30–78
202411WAS @ PHI18–268
202410MIN @ JAX12–79
20249DEN @ BAL10–4115
20248KC @ LV27–2013
20246BUF @ NYJ23–2022
20245MIA @ NE15–1018
20244CIN @ CAR34–2411
20243CHI @ IND16–2113
20242CLE @ JAX18–1319
20241LA @ DET20–2612
202319PHI @ TB9–3211
202318SEA @ ARI21–205
202317ATL @ CHI17–376
202316BUF @ LAC24–2213
202315PIT @ IND13–3010
202314TEN @ MIA28–2716
202312CLE @ DEN12–2916
202311CIN @ BAL20–3418
202310NO @ MIN19–2714
20239WAS @ NE20–178
20238LA @ DAL20–438
20236SEA @ CIN13–1712
20235CAR @ DET24–4212
20234MIA @ BUF20–4812
20233PHI @ TB25–117
20232KC @ JAX17–914
20231DAL @ NYG40–011
202219NYG @ MIN31–248
202218ARI @ SF13–389
202217CHI @ DET10–419
202216NYG @ MIN24–279
202215CIN @ TB34–2311
202214BAL @ PIT16–147
202213TEN @ PHI10–3519
202212LA @ KC10–268
202211CLE @ BUF23–3114
202210ATL @ CAR15–2514
20228DEN @ JAX21–1717
20227DET @ DAL6–2415

Does the crew move the market?

We tested 27 referees across 3,024 games. Penalty-rate differences between crews are real and survive multiple-comparison correction (χ² = 45.1, p = 0.0014), but every market-facing angle — favorite win rate, home win rate, totals versus the closing line, and over rate — came back flat. Real heterogeneity, no exploitable edge. See the full referee-crew finding.

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