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Tennessee Titans vs Washington Commanders

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Only Commanders is priced this week

Titans are on bye for this week, so Commanders is the only side of this comparison with a real survivor number.

TEN team page →WAS team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

bye / not scheduledOpponentvs LA

—Win prob33.2%

—Equity score0.263

—Spread0/11 books+4.5

—Game total48.0

single snapshotEquity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 13WAS @ TENnot played yet

All-time series: 8 meetings · TEN 4 — WAS 4. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1370.2ELO rating1466.6

#32ELO rank#22

1-7Record2-4-1

AFC SouthDivisionNFC East

#4Division rank#3

L 7 · L 3 · W +6 · L 23 · L 6Last 5newest firstW +17 · L 6 · T 0 · L 17 · W +2

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

18.4 · #19vs QB20.0 · #25

21.6 · #16vs RB19.8 · #9

40.7 · #28vs WR33.6 · #18

12.6 · #10vs TE20.7 · #27

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.43 (2026)Sacks / game1.83 (2026)

8.43Pressures / game10

6-7Primetime record2021–2024 standalone windows9-15

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

35.5% · #29Pre-snap motion42.3% · #18

9.9% · #24Play action11.9% · #11

8.6% · #3RPO6.3% · #12

5.7% · #2Screen pass3.7% · #16

8.2% · #9No huddle50.2% · #1

58.9% · #11Shotgun71.8% · #1

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

27.1% · #22Man coverage32.0% · #15

22.9% · #24Blitz (5+ rushers)27.5% · #16

29.5% · #21Pressure31.3% · #14

TEN scheme profile →WAS scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 8 · nflverse + highlightly

Tennessee Titans

Ali GayeLinebackerQuestionable
Amani HookerSafetyOut
Anfernee OrjiLinebackerInjured Reserve
Arden KeyLinebackerQuestionable
Blake HanceGuardQuestionable
Bryce OliverWide ReceiverOut
C.J. RavenellDefensive EndOut
Calvin RidleyWRQuestionable
Cam HorsleyDefensive TackleOut
Cam WardQuarterbackOut
Carnell TateWROut
Cedric GrayLinebackerOut

Washington Commanders

Charles OmenihuDefensive EndOut
Colson YankoffTEFull Participation in Practice
Isaac YiadomCornerbackOut
Javon KinlawDefensive TackleQuestionable
Javontae Jean-BaptisteLinebackerInjured Reserve
Jayden DanielsQBFull Participation in Practice
Jer'Zhan NewtonDTFull Participation in Practice
John BatesTELimited Participation in Practice
Sam CosmiGLimited Participation in Practice
Shy TuttleDTLimited Participation in Practice
Stefon DiggsWRDid Not Participate In Practice
Terry McLaurinWide ReceiverOut

Relevant to this matchup

The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: San Francisco 49ers Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)