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San Francisco 49ers vs Tennessee Titans

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Titans is the better survivor pick this week

Titans score 0.396 equity (52.6% win probability) against 49ers at 0.306 — a real gap of 0.090.

SF team page →TEN team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ LAOpponentvs NYJ

35.8%Win prob52.6%

0.306Equity score0.396

+3.5Spread11/11 books−1.5

47.5Game total38.5

▲ 0.001Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.005

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 7 meetings · SF 4 — TEN 3. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1559.3ELO rating1362.6

#9ELO rank#32

12-5Record3-14

NFC WestDivisionAFC South

#2Division rank#4

L 35 · W +4 · L 10 · W +4 · W +21Last 5newest firstL 34 · L 8 · W +17 · L 13 · W +2

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

17.1 · #20vs QB19.0 · #28

23.6 · #22vs RB21.6 · #14

32.2 · #21vs WR35.6 · #28

14.8 · #23vs TE14.2 · #19

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.21 (2025)Sacks / game2.47 (2025)

5.95Pressures / game9.06

22-13Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows6-7

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

55.1% · #2Pre-snap motion35.5% · #29

10.8% · #17Play action9.9% · #24

0.6% · #31RPO8.6% · #3

3.0% · #23Screen pass5.7% · #2

3.7% · #26No huddle8.2% · #9

45.0% · #27Shotgun58.9% · #11

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

26.6% · #24Man coverage27.1% · #22

22.6% · #25Blitz (5+ rushers)22.9% · #24

23.2% · #31Pressure29.5% · #21

SF scheme profile →TEN scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

San Francisco 49ers

Alfred CollinsDTOut
Ameer AbdullahRunning BackQuestionable
Austen PleasantsOffensive TackleOut
Ben BartchGuardQuestionable
Brandon AiyukWide ReceiverOut
Brock PurdyQuarterbackOut
CJ WestDefensive TackleOut
Corey KinerRunning BackInjured Reserve
Dee WintersLinebackerOut
Demarcus RobinsonWide ReceiverSuspension
Dominick PuniGuardQuestionable
Dre GreenlawLBFull Participation in Practice

Tennessee Titans

Ali GayeLinebackerQuestionable
Amani HookerSafetyOut
Anfernee OrjiLinebackerInjured Reserve
Arden KeyLinebackerQuestionable
Blake HanceGuardQuestionable
Bryce OliverWide ReceiverOut
C.J. RavenellDefensive EndOut
Calvin RidleyWide ReceiverOut
Cam HorsleyDefensive TackleOut
Cam WardQuarterbackOut
Cedric GrayLBDid Not Participate In Practice
Chandler BrewerOffensive TackleInjured Reserve

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(mentions Titans)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)