NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Only Buccaneers is priced this week

Steelers are on bye for this week, so Buccaneers is the only side of this comparison with a real survivor number.

PIT team page →TB team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

bye / not scheduledOpponent@ CHI
—Win prob29.4%
—Equity score0.250
—Spread0/11 books+6.0
—Game total47.5
single snapshotEquity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 6PIT @ TB26-19 · PIT

All-time series: 8 meetings · PIT 7 — TB 1. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1548.0ELO rating1474.2
#8ELO rank#19
6-2Record3-5
AFC NorthDivisionNFC South
#1Division rank#2
W +21 · W +6 · W +7 · W +12 · L 3Last 5newest firstW +16 · W +30 · L 7 · W +8 · L 3

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

12.1 · #4vs QB11.6 · #3
20.2 · #11vs RB16.9 · #1
28.9 · #10vs WR28.5 · #8
12.7 · #11vs TE14.8 · #19

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.57 (2026)Sacks / game2.29 (2026)
7.14Pressures / game7.43
15-19Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows11-14

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

43.4% · #16Pre-snap motion50.2% · #5
9.2% · #27Play action8.4% · #31
7.0% · #10RPO6.4% · #11
6.6% · #1Screen pass5.1% · #5
9.7% · #7No huddle5.5% · #19
54.2% · #17Shotgun54.2% · #18

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

36.9% · #10Man coverage30.3% · #18
31.4% · #8Blitz (5+ rushers)34.1% · #3
29.5% · #20Pressure34.1% · #3
PIT scheme profile →TB scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 8 · nflverse + highlightly

Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Alex HighsmithLBFull Participation in Practice
  • Ben SkowronekWRQuestionable
  • Brandin EcholsCBOut
  • Cameron HeywardDTFull Participation in Practice
  • Darnell WashingtonTEFull Participation in Practice
  • DeShon ElliottSafetyInjured Reserve
  • Doneiko SlaughterCBOut
  • Gennings DunkerGuardInjured Reserve
  • Jalen RamseyCBFull Participation in Practice
  • Jamel DeanCornerbackOut
  • Michael Pittman Jr.Wide ReceiverInjured Reserve
  • Rico DowdleRunning BackQuestionable

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Antoine Winfield Jr.SafetyOut
  • Baker MayfieldQBFull Participation in Practice
  • Benjamin MorrisonCornerbackOut
  • Cade OttonTEFull Participation in Practice
  • Cody MauchGFull Participation in Practice
  • Elijah RobertsDTDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Emeka EgbukaWRDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Jalen McMillanWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
  • Kenny GainwellRBLimited Participation in Practice
  • SirVocea DennisLinebackerOut
  • Tykee SmithSLimited Participation in Practice
  • Yaya DiabyLBDid Not Participate In Practice

Relevant to this matchup

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