NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Eagles is the better survivor pick this week

Eagles score 0.303 equity (38.9% win probability) against Commanders at 0.263 — a real gap of 0.040.

PHI team page →WAS team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs NYGOpponentvs LA
38.9%Win prob33.2%
0.303Equity score0.263
+3.0Spread11/11 books+4.5
38.5Game total48.0
= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 1WAS @ PHI22-24 · PHI
Week 8PHI @ WAS10-27 · WAS

All-time series: 57 meetings · PHI 35 — WAS 22. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1503.0ELO rating1466.6
#17ELO rank#22
2-6Record2-4-1
NFC EastDivisionNFC East
#4Division rank#3
L 17 · L 17 · L 11 · L 2 · L 4Last 5newest firstW +17 · L 6 · T 0 · L 17 · W +2

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

19.0 · #21vs QB20.0 · #25
21.5 · #15vs RB19.8 · #9
39.4 · #27vs WR33.6 · #18
9.6 · #3vs TE20.7 · #27

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.14 (2026)Sacks / game1.83 (2026)
7.43Pressures / game10
19-16Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows9-15

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

36.4% · #28Pre-snap motion42.3% · #18
10.1% · #23Play action11.9% · #11
5.4% · #14RPO6.3% · #12
2.1% · #32Screen pass3.7% · #16
15.9% · #4No huddle50.2% · #1
62.9% · #7Shotgun71.8% · #1

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

43.5% · #3Man coverage32.0% · #15
19.7% · #31Blitz (5+ rushers)27.5% · #16
32.8% · #8Pressure31.3% · #14
PHI scheme profile →WAS scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Philadelphia Eagles

  • AJ EpenesaDefensive EndOut
  • Britain CoveyWRDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Cole PaytonQuarterbackOut
  • Dallas GoedertTEFull Participation in Practice
  • DeVonta SmithWRDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Dontayvion WicksWRDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Drew KendallCenterOut
  • Fred JohnsonOffensive TackleOut
  • Hollywood BrownWide ReceiverOut
  • Jake ElliottKLimited Participation in Practice
  • Jalyx HuntLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Jihaad CampbellLBDid Not Participate In Practice

Washington Commanders

  • Charles OmenihuDefensive EndOut
  • Colson YankoffTEFull Participation in Practice
  • Isaac YiadomCornerbackOut
  • Javon KinlawDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Javontae Jean-BaptisteLinebackerInjured Reserve
  • Jayden DanielsQBFull Participation in Practice
  • Jer'Zhan NewtonDTFull Participation in Practice
  • John BatesTELimited Participation in Practice
  • Sam CosmiGLimited Participation in Practice
  • Shy TuttleDTLimited Participation in Practice
  • Stefon DiggsWRDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Terry McLaurinWide ReceiverOut

Relevant to this matchup

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