NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Philadelphia Eagles vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Eagles is the better survivor pick this week

Eagles score 0.311 equity (38.9% win probability) against Buccaneers at 0.250 — a real gap of 0.061.

PHI team page →TB team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs NYGOpponent@ CHI
38.9%Win prob29.4%
0.311Equity score0.250
+3.0Spread11/11 books+6.0
38.5Game total47.5
= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 19 meetings · PHI 9 — TB 10. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1503.0ELO rating1474.2
#17ELO rank#19
2-6Record3-5
NFC EastDivisionNFC South
#4Division rank#2
L 17 · L 17 · L 11 · L 2 · L 4Last 5newest firstW +16 · W +30 · L 7 · W +8 · L 3

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

19.0 · #21vs QB11.6 · #3
21.5 · #15vs RB16.9 · #1
39.4 · #27vs WR28.5 · #8
9.6 · #3vs TE14.8 · #19

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.14 (2026)Sacks / game2.29 (2026)
7.43Pressures / game7.43
19-16Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows11-14

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

36.4% · #28Pre-snap motion50.2% · #5
10.1% · #23Play action8.4% · #31
5.4% · #14RPO6.4% · #11
2.1% · #32Screen pass5.1% · #5
15.9% · #4No huddle5.5% · #19
62.9% · #7Shotgun54.2% · #18

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

43.5% · #3Man coverage30.3% · #18
19.7% · #31Blitz (5+ rushers)34.1% · #3
32.8% · #8Pressure34.1% · #3
PHI scheme profile →TB scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Philadelphia Eagles

  • AJ EpenesaDefensive EndOut
  • Britain CoveyWRDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Cole PaytonQuarterbackOut
  • Dallas GoedertTEFull Participation in Practice
  • DeVonta SmithWRDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Dontayvion WicksWRDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Drew KendallCenterOut
  • Fred JohnsonOffensive TackleOut
  • Hollywood BrownWide ReceiverOut
  • Jake ElliottKLimited Participation in Practice
  • Jalyx HuntLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Jihaad CampbellLBDid Not Participate In Practice

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Antoine Winfield Jr.SafetyOut
  • Baker MayfieldQBFull Participation in Practice
  • Benjamin MorrisonCornerbackOut
  • Cade OttonTEFull Participation in Practice
  • Cody MauchGFull Participation in Practice
  • Elijah RobertsDTDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Emeka EgbukaWRDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Jalen McMillanWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
  • Kenny GainwellRBLimited Participation in Practice
  • SirVocea DennisLinebackerOut
  • Tykee SmithSLimited Participation in Practice
  • Yaya DiabyLBDid Not Participate In Practice

Relevant to this matchup

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