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Philadelphia Eagles vs San Francisco 49ers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

49ers is the better survivor pick this week

49ers score 0.553 equity (79.3% win probability) against Eagles at 0.308 — a real gap of 0.245.

PHI team page →SF team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs NYGOpponentvs LV

39.1%Win prob79.3%

0.308Equity score0.553

+3.0Spread11/11 books−10.0

38.5Game total52.0

= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 17PHI @ SFnot played yet

All-time series: 16 meetings · PHI 9 — SF 7. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1503.0ELO rating1575.5

#17ELO rank#3

2-6Record6-1

NFC EastDivisionNFC West

#4Division rank#1

L 17 · L 17 · L 11 · L 2 · L 4Last 5newest firstL 9 · W +6 · W +3 · W +10 · W +6

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

19.0 · #21vs QB—

21.5 · #15vs RB—

39.4 · #27vs WR—

9.6 · #3vs TE—

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.14 (2026)Sacks / game2.14 (2026)

7.43Pressures / game9.71

19-16Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows24-13

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

36.4% · #28Pre-snap motion55.1% · #2

10.1% · #23Play action10.8% · #17

5.4% · #14RPO0.6% · #31

2.1% · #32Screen pass3.0% · #23

15.9% · #4No huddle3.7% · #26

62.9% · #7Shotgun45.0% · #27

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

43.5% · #3Man coverage26.6% · #24

19.7% · #31Blitz (5+ rushers)22.6% · #25

32.8% · #8Pressure23.2% · #31

PHI scheme profile →SF scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Philadelphia Eagles

AJ EpenesaDefensive EndOut
Britain CoveyWRDid Not Participate In Practice
Cole PaytonQuarterbackOut
Dallas GoedertTEFull Participation in Practice
DeVonta SmithWRDid Not Participate In Practice
Dontayvion WicksWRDid Not Participate In Practice
Drew KendallCenterOut
Fred JohnsonOffensive TackleOut
Hollywood BrownWide ReceiverOut
Jake ElliottKLimited Participation in Practice
Jalyx HuntLBLimited Participation in Practice
Jihaad CampbellLBDid Not Participate In Practice

San Francisco 49ers

Christian KirkWRLimited Participation in Practice
Christian McCaffreyRBDid Not Participate In Practice
Deebo Samuel Sr.WRDid Not Participate In Practice
Demarcus RobinsonWRLimited Participation in Practice
Garret WallowLBLimited Participation in Practice
Kurtis RourkeQuarterbackOut
Luke GiffordLBLimited Participation in Practice
Marques SigleSLimited Participation in Practice
Mike EvansWRDid Not Participate In Practice
Mykel WilliamsDEFull Participation in Practice
Nate HobbsCBLimited Participation in Practice
Nick BosaDELimited Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)