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Philadelphia Eagles vs San Francisco 49ers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Eagles is the better survivor pick this week

Eagles score 0.459 equity (68.1% win probability) against 49ers at 0.306 — a real gap of 0.153.

PHI team page →SF team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs WASOpponent@ LA

68.1%Win prob35.8%

0.459Equity score0.306

−5.5Spread11/11 books+3.5

44.5Game total47.5

▲ 0.005Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.001

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 17PHI @ SFnot played yet

All-time series: 16 meetings · PHI 9 — SF 7. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1589.5ELO rating1559.3

#3ELO rank#9

11-6Record12-5

NFC EastDivisionNFC West

#1Division rank#2

L 4 · L 7 · W +1 · W +11 · W +31Last 5newest firstL 35 · W +4 · L 10 · W +4 · W +21

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

14.5 · #10vs QB17.1 · #20

22.9 · #20vs RB23.6 · #22

26.5 · #6vs WR32.2 · #21

8.3 · #1vs TE14.8 · #23

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.39 (2025)Sacks / game1.21 (2025)

8.17Pressures / game5.95

19-13Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows22-13

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

36.4% · #28Pre-snap motion55.1% · #2

10.1% · #23Play action10.8% · #17

5.4% · #14RPO0.6% · #31

2.1% · #32Screen pass3.0% · #23

15.9% · #4No huddle3.7% · #26

62.9% · #7Shotgun45.0% · #27

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

43.5% · #3Man coverage26.6% · #24

19.7% · #31Blitz (5+ rushers)22.6% · #25

32.8% · #8Pressure23.2% · #31

PHI scheme profile →SF scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. BrownWide ReceiverQuestionable
A.J. WoodsCornerbackQuestionable
Adoree' JacksonCornerbackQuestionable
AJ DillonRunning BackOut
Azeez OjulariLinebackerOut
Brandon JohnsonCornerbackQuestionable
Brett TothCenterOut
Byron YoungDefensive TackleQuestionable
Cam JurgensCenterOut
Cameron LatuTight EndOut
Dallas GoedertTight EndQuestionable
Darius CooperWide ReceiverQuestionable

San Francisco 49ers

Alfred CollinsDTOut
Ameer AbdullahRunning BackQuestionable
Austen PleasantsOffensive TackleOut
Ben BartchGuardQuestionable
Brandon AiyukWide ReceiverOut
Brock PurdyQuarterbackOut
CJ WestDefensive TackleOut
Corey KinerRunning BackInjured Reserve
Dee WintersLinebackerOut
Demarcus RobinsonWide ReceiverSuspension
Dominick PuniGuardQuestionable
Dre GreenlawLBFull Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)