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New York Jets vs Philadelphia Eagles

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Eagles is the better survivor pick this week

Eagles score 0.459 equity (68.1% win probability) against Jets at 0.354 — a real gap of 0.104.

NYJ team page →PHI team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ TENOpponentvs WAS

47.4%Win prob68.1%

0.354Equity score0.459

+1.5Spread11/11 books−5.5

38.5Game total44.5

▼ 0.005Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.005

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 7 meetings · NYJ 1 — PHI 6. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1379.3ELO rating1589.5

#30ELO rank#3

3-14Record11-6

AFC EastDivisionNFC East

#4Division rank#1

L 27 · L 32 · L 23 · L 28 · L 24Last 5newest firstL 4 · L 7 · W +1 · W +11 · W +31

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

19.9 · #31vs QB14.5 · #10

28.0 · #31vs RB22.9 · #20

30.3 · #16vs WR26.5 · #6

15.2 · #24vs TE8.3 · #1

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.53 (2025)Sacks / game2.39 (2025)

5.18Pressures / game8.17

3-12Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows19-13

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

49.8% · #7Pre-snap motion36.4% · #28

8.6% · #29Play action10.1% · #23

7.1% · #8RPO5.4% · #14

3.4% · #17Screen pass2.1% · #32

8.1% · #10No huddle15.9% · #4

59.8% · #8Shotgun62.9% · #7

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

40.5% · #6Man coverage43.5% · #3

28.3% · #13Blitz (5+ rushers)19.7% · #31

24.8% · #30Pressure32.8% · #8

NYJ scheme profile →PHI scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

New York Jets

Adonai MitchellWide ReceiverOut
Allen LazardWide ReceiverOut
Andre CiscoSafetyQuestionable
Arian SmithWide ReceiverOut
Azareye'h ThomasCornerbackQuestionable
Braelon AllenRunning BackOut
Breece HallRBFull Participation in Practice
Bump CooperCornerbackInjured Reserve
Byron CowartDefensive TackleQuestionable
Cam JonesLinebackerOut
Chris Smith IISafetyOut
D'Angelo PondsCBLimited Participation in Practice

Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. BrownWide ReceiverQuestionable
A.J. WoodsCornerbackQuestionable
Adoree' JacksonCornerbackQuestionable
AJ DillonRunning BackOut
Azeez OjulariLinebackerOut
Brandon JohnsonCornerbackQuestionable
Brett TothCenterOut
Byron YoungDefensive TackleQuestionable
Cam JurgensCenterOut
Cameron LatuTight EndOut
Dallas GoedertTight EndQuestionable
Darius CooperWide ReceiverQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)