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New York Giants vs Washington Commanders

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Giants is the better survivor pick this week

Giants score 0.447 equity (61.1% win probability) against Commanders at 0.263 — a real gap of 0.184.

NYG team page →WAS team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ PHIOpponentvs LA

61.1%Win prob33.2%

0.447Equity score0.263

−3.0Spread11/11 books+4.5

38.5Game total48.5

= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 5NYG @ WAS27-27 · tie

Week 10WAS @ NYGnot played yet

All-time series: 55 meetings · NYG 32 — WAS 21 · 2 ties. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1450.6ELO rating1466.6

#25ELO rank#22

4-2-1Record2-4-1

NFC EastDivisionNFC East

#1Division rank#3

W +6 · L 7 · T 0 · W +12 · W +5Last 5newest firstW +17 · L 6 · T 0 · L 17 · W +2

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

—vs QB20.0 · #25

—vs RB19.8 · #9

—vs WR33.6 · #18

—vs TE20.7 · #27

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.29 (2026)Sacks / game1.83 (2026)

6.43Pressures / game10

4-19Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows9-15

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

30.8% · #32Pre-snap motion42.3% · #18

10.8% · #18Play action11.9% · #11

9.3% · #2RPO6.3% · #12

3.1% · #20Screen pass3.7% · #16

17.4% · #3No huddle50.2% · #1

64.8% · #6Shotgun71.8% · #1

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

40.3% · #7Man coverage32.0% · #15

30.5% · #9Blitz (5+ rushers)27.5% · #16

30.2% · #17Pressure31.3% · #14

NYG scheme profile →WAS scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

New York Giants

Abdul CarterLBDid Not Participate In Practice
Andrew ThomasTLimited Participation in Practice
Bobby Jamison-TravisDefensive TackleOut
Brian BurnsLinebackerQuestionable
Cam SkatteboRBDid Not Participate In Practice
Charlie JonesWRLimited Participation in Practice
Colton HoodCBLimited Participation in Practice
Deonte BanksCornerbackOut
DJ ReaderDTFull Participation in Practice
Jason PinnockSafetyOut
Jaxson DartQuarterbackOut
Jermaine EluemunorTLimited Participation in Practice

Washington Commanders

Charles OmenihuDefensive EndOut
Colson YankoffTEFull Participation in Practice
Isaac YiadomCornerbackOut
Javon KinlawDefensive TackleQuestionable
Javontae Jean-BaptisteLinebackerInjured Reserve
Jayden DanielsQBFull Participation in Practice
Jer'Zhan NewtonDTFull Participation in Practice
John BatesTELimited Participation in Practice
Sam CosmiGLimited Participation in Practice
Shy TuttleDTLimited Participation in Practice
Stefon DiggsWRDid Not Participate In Practice
Terry McLaurinWide ReceiverOut

Relevant to this matchup

Why Divisional Games Are Riskier Than They Look(same division)
The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)