Compare

New York Giants vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Steelers is the better survivor pick this week

Steelers score 0.459 equity (67.2% win probability) against Giants at 0.324 — a real gap of 0.136.

NYG team page →PIT team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs DALOpponentvs ATL

40.7%Win prob67.2%

0.324Equity score0.459

+3.0Spread11/11 books−5.0

48.0Game total41.5

▲ 0.001Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.005

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 7 meetings · NYG 2 — PIT 5. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1390.8ELO rating1529.4

#28ELO rank#13

4-13Record10-7

NFC EastDivisionAFC North

#4Division rank#1

W +17 · W +24 · L 3 · L 8 · L 18Last 5newest firstL 24 · W +2 · L 7 · W +5 · W +13

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

18.3 · #25vs QB18.8 · #27

25.8 · #29vs RB19.5 · #8

33.7 · #24vs WR35.2 · #26

11.4 · #8vs TE16.6 · #29

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.24 (2025)Sacks / game2.83 (2025)

8.41Pressures / game9

3-18Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows15-18

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

30.8% · #32Pre-snap motion43.4% · #16

10.8% · #18Play action9.2% · #27

9.3% · #2RPO7.0% · #10

3.1% · #20Screen pass6.6% · #1

17.4% · #3No huddle9.7% · #7

64.8% · #6Shotgun54.2% · #17

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

40.3% · #7Man coverage36.9% · #10

30.5% · #9Blitz (5+ rushers)31.4% · #8

30.2% · #17Pressure29.5% · #20

NYG scheme profile →PIT scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

New York Giants

Andrew ThomasTFull Participation in Practice
Anthony Johnson Jr.SafetyOut
Art GreenCornerbackQuestionable
Bryan HudsonCFull Participation in Practice
Bryce Ford-WheatonWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
Cam SkatteboRunning BackOut
Chris BoardLinebackerQuestionable
Cor'Dale FlottCornerbackOut
Daniel BellingerTight EndQuestionable
Dante MillerRunning BackOut
Darius AlexanderDefensive TackleOut
Darius MuasauLinebackerQuestionable

Pittsburgh Steelers

Aaron RodgersQuarterbackQuestionable
Alex HighsmithLinebackerOut
Andrus PeatGuardQuestionable
Brandin EcholsCornerbackQuestionable
Brandon JohnsonWide ReceiverQuestionable
Broderick JonesOffensive TackleQuestionable
Brodric Martin-RhodesDefensive TackleOut
Calvin Austin IIIWide ReceiverQuestionable
Cameron McCutcheonCornerbackInjured Reserve
Christian KuntzLong SnapperQuestionable
Chuck ClarkSafetyOut
Darius SlayCornerbackOut

Relevant to this matchup

The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)