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New York Giants vs New York Jets

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Jets is the better survivor pick this week

Jets score 0.354 equity (47.4% win probability) against Giants at 0.324 — a real gap of 0.030.

NYG team page →NYJ team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs DALOpponent@ TEN

40.7%Win prob47.4%

0.324Equity score0.354

+3.0Spread11/11 books+1.5

48.0Game total38.5

▲ 0.001Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▼ 0.005

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 7 meetings · NYG 4 — NYJ 3. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1390.8ELO rating1379.3

#28ELO rank#30

4-13Record3-14

NFC EastDivisionAFC East

#4Division rank#4

W +17 · W +24 · L 3 · L 8 · L 18Last 5newest firstL 27 · L 32 · L 23 · L 28 · L 24

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

18.3 · #25vs QB19.9 · #31

25.8 · #29vs RB28.0 · #31

33.7 · #24vs WR30.3 · #16

11.4 · #8vs TE15.2 · #24

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.24 (2025)Sacks / game1.53 (2025)

8.41Pressures / game5.18

3-18Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows3-12

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

30.8% · #32Pre-snap motion49.8% · #7

10.8% · #18Play action8.6% · #29

9.3% · #2RPO7.1% · #8

3.1% · #20Screen pass3.4% · #17

17.4% · #3No huddle8.1% · #10

64.8% · #6Shotgun59.8% · #8

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

40.3% · #7Man coverage40.5% · #6

30.5% · #9Blitz (5+ rushers)28.3% · #13

30.2% · #17Pressure24.8% · #30

NYG scheme profile →NYJ scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

New York Giants

Andrew ThomasTFull Participation in Practice
Anthony Johnson Jr.SafetyOut
Art GreenCornerbackQuestionable
Bryan HudsonCFull Participation in Practice
Bryce Ford-WheatonWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
Cam SkatteboRunning BackOut
Chris BoardLinebackerQuestionable
Cor'Dale FlottCornerbackOut
Daniel BellingerTight EndQuestionable
Dante MillerRunning BackOut
Darius AlexanderDefensive TackleOut
Darius MuasauLinebackerQuestionable

New York Jets

Adonai MitchellWide ReceiverOut
Allen LazardWide ReceiverOut
Andre CiscoSafetyQuestionable
Arian SmithWide ReceiverOut
Azareye'h ThomasCornerbackQuestionable
Braelon AllenRunning BackOut
Breece HallRBFull Participation in Practice
Bump CooperCornerbackInjured Reserve
Byron CowartDefensive TackleQuestionable
Cam JonesLinebackerOut
Chris Smith IISafetyOut
D'Angelo PondsCBLimited Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)