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New Orleans Saints vs Tennessee Titans

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Titans is the better survivor pick this week

Titans score 0.396 equity (52.6% win probability) against Saints at 0.250 — a real gap of 0.146.

NO team page →TEN team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ DETOpponentvs NYJ

26.8%Win prob52.6%

0.250Equity score0.396

+7.0Spread11/11 books−1.5

50.0Game total38.5

▼ 0.003Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.005

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 9 meetings · NO 4 — TEN 5. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1432.4ELO rating1362.6

#26ELO rank#32

6-11Record3-14

NFC SouthDivisionAFC South

#4Division rank#4

L 2 · W +8 · W +23 · W +3 · W +4Last 5newest firstL 34 · L 8 · W +17 · L 13 · W +2

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

14.0 · #8vs QB19.0 · #28

20.8 · #13vs RB21.6 · #14

27.8 · #12vs WR35.6 · #28

12.5 · #13vs TE14.2 · #19

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.59 (2025)Sacks / game2.47 (2025)

8.53Pressures / game9.06

4-11Primetime record2021–2024 standalone windows6-7

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

49.7% · #8Pre-snap motion35.5% · #29

9.6% · #25Play action9.9% · #24

4.7% · #15RPO8.6% · #3

2.7% · #26Screen pass5.7% · #2

18.7% · #2No huddle8.2% · #9

65.7% · #5Shotgun58.9% · #11

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

22.1% · #28Man coverage27.1% · #22

25.6% · #21Blitz (5+ rushers)22.9% · #24

28.2% · #24Pressure29.5% · #21

NO scheme profile →TEN scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

New Orleans Saints

Alontae TaylorCornerbackQuestionable
Alvin KamaraRBLimited Participation in Practice
Asim RichardsOffensive TackleQuestionable
Audric EstiméRBDid Not Participate In Practice
Barry WesleyOffensive TackleOut
Bryan BreseeDefensive TackleQuestionable
Bub MeansWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
Cameron JordanLBDid Not Participate In Practice
Cesar RuizGuardOut
Chase YoungDefensive EndOut
Chris OlaveWide ReceiverOut
Devaughn VeleWide ReceiverQuestionable

Tennessee Titans

Ali GayeLinebackerQuestionable
Amani HookerSafetyOut
Anfernee OrjiLinebackerInjured Reserve
Arden KeyLinebackerQuestionable
Blake HanceGuardQuestionable
Bryce OliverWide ReceiverOut
C.J. RavenellDefensive EndOut
Calvin RidleyWide ReceiverOut
Cam HorsleyDefensive TackleOut
Cam WardQuarterbackOut
Cedric GrayLBDid Not Participate In Practice
Chandler BrewerOffensive TackleInjured Reserve

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(mentions Titans)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)