NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

New Orleans Saints vs Philadelphia Eagles

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Saints is the better survivor pick this week

Saints score 0.461 equity (59.9% win probability) against Eagles at 0.311 — a real gap of 0.150.

NO team page →PHI team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs CLEOpponentvs NYG
59.9%Win prob38.9%
0.461Equity score0.311
−3.0Spread11/11 books+3.0
42.5Game total38.5
= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 15 meetings · NO 8 — PHI 7. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1436.2ELO rating1503.0
#28ELO rank#17
2-5Record2-6
NFC SouthDivisionNFC East
#4Division rank#4
L 6 · W +7 · L 10 · L 21 · L 8Last 5newest firstL 17 · L 17 · L 11 · L 2 · L 4

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

—vs QB19.0 · #21
—vs RB21.5 · #15
—vs WR39.4 · #27
—vs TE9.6 · #3

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.57 (2026)Sacks / game1.14 (2026)
7.29Pressures / game7.43
4-12Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows19-16

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

49.7% · #8Pre-snap motion36.4% · #28
9.6% · #25Play action10.1% · #23
4.7% · #15RPO5.4% · #14
2.7% · #26Screen pass2.1% · #32
18.7% · #2No huddle15.9% · #4
65.7% · #5Shotgun62.9% · #7

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

22.1% · #28Man coverage43.5% · #3
25.6% · #21Blitz (5+ rushers)19.7% · #31
28.2% · #24Pressure32.8% · #8
NO scheme profile →PHI scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

New Orleans Saints

  • Alvin KamaraRBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Asim RichardsTLimited Participation in Practice
  • Cesar RuizGFull Participation in Practice
  • Christen MillerDefensive TackleOut
  • CJ DonaldsonRBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Davon GodchauxDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Decamerion RichardsonCornerbackOut
  • Jordyn TysonWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Justin ReidSFull Participation in Practice
  • Kelvin Banks Jr.TLimited Participation in Practice
  • Martin EmersonCBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Nathan ShepherdDTFull Participation in Practice

Philadelphia Eagles

  • AJ EpenesaDefensive EndOut
  • Britain CoveyWRDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Cole PaytonQuarterbackOut
  • Dallas GoedertTEFull Participation in Practice
  • DeVonta SmithWRDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Dontayvion WicksWRDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Drew KendallCenterOut
  • Fred JohnsonOffensive TackleOut
  • Hollywood BrownWide ReceiverOut
  • Jake ElliottKLimited Participation in Practice
  • Jalyx HuntLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Jihaad CampbellLBDid Not Participate In Practice

Relevant to this matchup

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