NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

New Orleans Saints vs New York Jets

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Jets is the better survivor pick this week

Jets score 0.354 equity (47.4% win probability) against Saints at 0.250 — a real gap of 0.105.

NO team page →NYJ team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ DETOpponent@ TEN
26.8%Win prob47.4%
0.250Equity score0.354
+7.0Spread11/11 books+1.5
50.0Game total38.5
▼ 0.003Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▼ 0.005

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 7 meetings · NO 5 — NYJ 2. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1432.4ELO rating1379.3
#26ELO rank#30
6-11Record3-14
NFC SouthDivisionAFC East
#4Division rank#4
L 2 · W +8 · W +23 · W +3 · W +4Last 5newest firstL 27 · L 32 · L 23 · L 28 · L 24

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

14.0 · #8vs QB19.9 · #31
20.8 · #13vs RB28.0 · #31
27.8 · #12vs WR30.3 · #16
12.5 · #13vs TE15.2 · #24

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.59 (2025)Sacks / game1.53 (2025)
8.53Pressures / game5.18
4-11Primetime record2021–2024 standalone windows3-12

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

49.7% · #8Pre-snap motion49.8% · #7
9.6% · #25Play action8.6% · #29
4.7% · #15RPO7.1% · #8
2.7% · #26Screen pass3.4% · #17
18.7% · #2No huddle8.1% · #10
65.7% · #5Shotgun59.8% · #8

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

22.1% · #28Man coverage40.5% · #6
25.6% · #21Blitz (5+ rushers)28.3% · #13
28.2% · #24Pressure24.8% · #30
NO scheme profile →NYJ scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

New Orleans Saints

  • Alontae TaylorCornerbackQuestionable
  • Alvin KamaraRBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Asim RichardsOffensive TackleQuestionable
  • Audric EstiméRBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Barry WesleyOffensive TackleOut
  • Bryan BreseeDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Bub MeansWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
  • Cameron JordanLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Cesar RuizGuardOut
  • Chase YoungDefensive EndOut
  • Chris OlaveWide ReceiverOut
  • Devaughn VeleWide ReceiverQuestionable

New York Jets

  • Adonai MitchellWide ReceiverOut
  • Allen LazardWide ReceiverOut
  • Andre CiscoSafetyQuestionable
  • Arian SmithWide ReceiverOut
  • Azareye'h ThomasCornerbackQuestionable
  • Braelon AllenRunning BackOut
  • Breece HallRBFull Participation in Practice
  • Bump CooperCornerbackInjured Reserve
  • Byron CowartDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Cam JonesLinebackerOut
  • Chris Smith IISafetyOut
  • D'Angelo PondsCBLimited Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

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