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New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Giants is the better survivor pick this week

Giants score 0.324 equity (40.7% win probability) against Saints at 0.250 — a real gap of 0.074.

NO team page →NYG team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ DETOpponentvs DAL

26.8%Win prob40.7%

0.250Equity score0.324

+7.0Spread11/11 books+3.0

50.0Game total48.0

▼ 0.003Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.001

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 6NO @ NYGnot played yet

All-time series: 15 meetings · NO 9 — NYG 6. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1432.4ELO rating1390.8

#26ELO rank#28

6-11Record4-13

NFC SouthDivisionNFC East

#4Division rank#4

L 2 · W +8 · W +23 · W +3 · W +4Last 5newest firstW +17 · W +24 · L 3 · L 8 · L 18

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

14.0 · #8vs QB18.3 · #25

20.8 · #13vs RB25.8 · #29

27.8 · #12vs WR33.7 · #24

12.5 · #13vs TE11.4 · #8

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.59 (2025)Sacks / game2.24 (2025)

8.53Pressures / game8.41

4-11Primetime record2021–2024 standalone windows3-18

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

49.7% · #8Pre-snap motion30.8% · #32

9.6% · #25Play action10.8% · #18

4.7% · #15RPO9.3% · #2

2.7% · #26Screen pass3.1% · #20

18.7% · #2No huddle17.4% · #3

65.7% · #5Shotgun64.8% · #6

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

22.1% · #28Man coverage40.3% · #7

25.6% · #21Blitz (5+ rushers)30.5% · #9

28.2% · #24Pressure30.2% · #17

NO scheme profile →NYG scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

New Orleans Saints

Alontae TaylorCornerbackQuestionable
Alvin KamaraRBLimited Participation in Practice
Asim RichardsOffensive TackleQuestionable
Audric EstiméRBDid Not Participate In Practice
Barry WesleyOffensive TackleOut
Bryan BreseeDefensive TackleQuestionable
Bub MeansWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
Cameron JordanLBDid Not Participate In Practice
Cesar RuizGuardOut
Chase YoungDefensive EndOut
Chris OlaveWide ReceiverOut
Devaughn VeleWide ReceiverQuestionable

New York Giants

Andrew ThomasTFull Participation in Practice
Anthony Johnson Jr.SafetyOut
Art GreenCornerbackQuestionable
Bryan HudsonCFull Participation in Practice
Bryce Ford-WheatonWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
Cam SkatteboRunning BackOut
Chris BoardLinebackerQuestionable
Cor'Dale FlottCornerbackOut
Daniel BellingerTight EndQuestionable
Dante MillerRunning BackOut
Darius AlexanderDefensive TackleOut
Darius MuasauLinebackerQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)