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New England Patriots vs Philadelphia Eagles

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Patriots is the better survivor pick this week

Patriots score 0.450 equity (60.5% win probability) against Eagles at 0.311 — a real gap of 0.139.

NE team page →PHI team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs GBOpponentvs NYG

60.5%Win prob38.9%

0.450Equity score0.311

−3.0Spread11/11 books+3.0

45.5Game total38.5

▼ 0.009Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 9 meetings · NE 5 — PHI 4. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1557.2ELO rating1503.0

#7ELO rank#17

5-3Record2-6

AFC EastDivisionNFC East

#2Division rank#4

W +5 · L 6 · W +7 · W +28 · W +3Last 5newest firstL 17 · L 17 · L 11 · L 2 · L 4

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

15.1 · #10vs QB19.0 · #21

18.9 · #6vs RB21.5 · #15

33.8 · #20vs WR39.4 · #27

11.9 · #8vs TE9.6 · #3

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.43 (2026)Sacks / game1.14 (2026)

8.14Pressures / game7.43

10-13Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows19-16

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

40.2% · #24Pre-snap motion36.4% · #28

10.8% · #19Play action10.1% · #23

1.3% · #30RPO5.4% · #14

2.3% · #30Screen pass2.1% · #32

2.8% · #29No huddle15.9% · #4

46.1% · #25Shotgun62.9% · #7

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

32.5% · #14Man coverage43.5% · #3

32.3% · #7Blitz (5+ rushers)19.7% · #31

29.8% · #18Pressure32.8% · #8

NE scheme profile →PHI scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

New England Patriots

A.J. BrownWRDid Not Participate In Practice
Alijah Vera-TuckerGuardOut
Ben BrownCenterOut
Carlton Davis IIICBLimited Participation in Practice
Channing CanadaCornerbackOut
Christian BarmoreDTDid Not Participate In Practice
Drake MayeQBFull Participation in Practice
Dre'Mont JonesLBLimited Participation in Practice
Gabe JacasLBLimited Participation in Practice
Greg Van RotenGLimited Participation in Practice
Hunter HenryTEDid Not Participate In Practice
Karon PruntyCornerbackOut

Philadelphia Eagles

AJ EpenesaDefensive EndOut
Britain CoveyWRDid Not Participate In Practice
Cole PaytonQuarterbackOut
Dallas GoedertTEFull Participation in Practice
DeVonta SmithWRDid Not Participate In Practice
Dontayvion WicksWRDid Not Participate In Practice
Drew KendallCenterOut
Fred JohnsonOffensive TackleOut
Hollywood BrownWide ReceiverOut
Jake ElliottKLimited Participation in Practice
Jalyx HuntLBLimited Participation in Practice
Jihaad CampbellLBDid Not Participate In Practice

Relevant to this matchup

The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)