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New England Patriots vs New York Giants

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Patriots is the better survivor pick this week

Patriots score 0.459 equity (60.5% win probability) against Giants at 0.447 — a real gap of 0.012.

NE team page →NYG team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs GBOpponent@ PHI

60.5%Win prob61.1%

0.459Equity score0.447

−3.0Spread11/11 books−3.0

45.5Game total38.5

▲ 0.006Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 10 meetings · NE 6 — NYG 4. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1557.2ELO rating1450.6

#7ELO rank#25

5-3Record4-2-1

AFC EastDivisionNFC East

#2Division rank#1

W +5 · L 6 · W +7 · W +28 · W +3Last 5newest firstW +6 · L 7 · T 0 · W +12 · W +5

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

15.1 · #10vs QB—

18.9 · #6vs RB—

33.8 · #20vs WR—

11.9 · #8vs TE—

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.43 (2026)Sacks / game1.29 (2026)

8.14Pressures / game6.43

10-13Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows4-19

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

40.2% · #24Pre-snap motion30.8% · #32

10.8% · #19Play action10.8% · #18

1.3% · #30RPO9.3% · #2

2.3% · #30Screen pass3.1% · #20

2.8% · #29No huddle17.4% · #3

46.1% · #25Shotgun64.8% · #6

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

32.5% · #14Man coverage40.3% · #7

32.3% · #7Blitz (5+ rushers)30.5% · #9

29.8% · #18Pressure30.2% · #17

NE scheme profile →NYG scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

New England Patriots

A.J. BrownWRDid Not Participate In Practice
Alijah Vera-TuckerGuardOut
Ben BrownCenterOut
Carlton Davis IIICBLimited Participation in Practice
Channing CanadaCornerbackOut
Christian BarmoreDTDid Not Participate In Practice
Drake MayeQBFull Participation in Practice
Dre'Mont JonesLBLimited Participation in Practice
Gabe JacasLBLimited Participation in Practice
Greg Van RotenGLimited Participation in Practice
Hunter HenryTEDid Not Participate In Practice
Karon PruntyCornerbackOut

New York Giants

Abdul CarterLBDid Not Participate In Practice
Andrew ThomasTLimited Participation in Practice
Bobby Jamison-TravisDefensive TackleOut
Brian BurnsLinebackerQuestionable
Cam SkatteboRBDid Not Participate In Practice
Charlie JonesWRLimited Participation in Practice
Colton HoodCBLimited Participation in Practice
Deonte BanksCornerbackOut
DJ ReaderDTFull Participation in Practice
Jason PinnockSafetyOut
Jaxson DartQuarterbackOut
Jermaine EluemunorTLimited Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)