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Minnesota Vikings vs Tennessee Titans

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Titans is the better survivor pick this week

Titans score 0.396 equity (52.6% win probability) against Vikings at 0.382 — a real gap of 0.014.

MIN team page →TEN team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs GBOpponentvs NYJ

53.0%Win prob52.6%

0.382Equity score0.396

−1.5Spread11/11 books−1.5

46.5Game total38.5

▼ 0.002Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.005

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 7 meetings · MIN 5 — TEN 2. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1547.9ELO rating1362.6

#10ELO rank#32

9-8Record3-14

NFC NorthDivisionAFC South

#4Division rank#4

W +13 · W +13 · W +3 · W +8 · W +31Last 5newest firstL 34 · L 8 · W +17 · L 13 · W +2

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

11.1 · #1vs QB19.0 · #28

19.6 · #9vs RB21.6 · #14

23.7 · #1vs WR35.6 · #28

10.7 · #5vs TE14.2 · #19

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.88 (2025)Sacks / game2.47 (2025)

9.06Pressures / game9.06

11-13Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows6-7

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

41.3% · #23Pre-snap motion35.5% · #29

12.5% · #8Play action9.9% · #24

3.7% · #20RPO8.6% · #3

4.2% · #10Screen pass5.7% · #2

6.1% · #15No huddle8.2% · #9

45.6% · #26Shotgun58.9% · #11

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

19.0% · #32Man coverage27.1% · #22

46.2% · #1Blitz (5+ rushers)22.9% · #24

34.1% · #4Pressure29.5% · #21

MIN scheme profile →TEN scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Minnesota Vikings

Aaron Jones Sr.Running BackQuestionable
Adam ThielenWide ReceiverOut
Andrew Van GinkelLinebackerOut
Austin KeysLinebackerOut
Ben SimsTight EndOut
Ben YurosekTight EndOut
Brett RypienQuarterbackOut
Brian O'NeillOffensive TackleOut
Caleb TiernanTLimited Participation in Practice
Chaz ChamblissLinebackerOut
Christian DarrisawOffensive TackleOut
Corey KinerRunning BackOut

Tennessee Titans

Ali GayeLinebackerQuestionable
Amani HookerSafetyOut
Anfernee OrjiLinebackerInjured Reserve
Arden KeyLinebackerQuestionable
Blake HanceGuardQuestionable
Bryce OliverWide ReceiverOut
C.J. RavenellDefensive EndOut
Calvin RidleyWide ReceiverOut
Cam HorsleyDefensive TackleOut
Cam WardQuarterbackOut
Cedric GrayLBDid Not Participate In Practice
Chandler BrewerOffensive TackleInjured Reserve

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(mentions Titans)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)