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Minnesota Vikings vs Philadelphia Eagles

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Eagles is the better survivor pick this week

Eagles score 0.459 equity (68.1% win probability) against Vikings at 0.382 — a real gap of 0.077.

MIN team page →PHI team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs GBOpponentvs WAS

53.0%Win prob68.1%

0.382Equity score0.459

−1.5Spread11/11 books−5.5

46.5Game total44.5

▼ 0.002Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.005

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 14 meetings · MIN 4 — PHI 10. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1547.9ELO rating1589.5

#10ELO rank#3

9-8Record11-6

NFC NorthDivisionNFC East

#4Division rank#1

W +13 · W +13 · W +3 · W +8 · W +31Last 5newest firstL 4 · L 7 · W +1 · W +11 · W +31

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

11.1 · #1vs QB14.5 · #10

19.6 · #9vs RB22.9 · #20

23.7 · #1vs WR26.5 · #6

10.7 · #5vs TE8.3 · #1

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.88 (2025)Sacks / game2.39 (2025)

9.06Pressures / game8.17

11-13Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows19-13

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

41.3% · #23Pre-snap motion36.4% · #28

12.5% · #8Play action10.1% · #23

3.7% · #20RPO5.4% · #14

4.2% · #10Screen pass2.1% · #32

6.1% · #15No huddle15.9% · #4

45.6% · #26Shotgun62.9% · #7

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

19.0% · #32Man coverage43.5% · #3

46.2% · #1Blitz (5+ rushers)19.7% · #31

34.1% · #4Pressure32.8% · #8

MIN scheme profile →PHI scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Minnesota Vikings

Aaron Jones Sr.Running BackQuestionable
Adam ThielenWide ReceiverOut
Andrew Van GinkelLinebackerOut
Austin KeysLinebackerOut
Ben SimsTight EndOut
Ben YurosekTight EndOut
Brett RypienQuarterbackOut
Brian O'NeillOffensive TackleOut
Caleb TiernanTLimited Participation in Practice
Chaz ChamblissLinebackerOut
Christian DarrisawOffensive TackleOut
Corey KinerRunning BackOut

Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. BrownWide ReceiverQuestionable
A.J. WoodsCornerbackQuestionable
Adoree' JacksonCornerbackQuestionable
AJ DillonRunning BackOut
Azeez OjulariLinebackerOut
Brandon JohnsonCornerbackQuestionable
Brett TothCenterOut
Byron YoungDefensive TackleQuestionable
Cam JurgensCenterOut
Cameron LatuTight EndOut
Dallas GoedertTight EndQuestionable
Darius CooperWide ReceiverQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)