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Minnesota Vikings vs Philadelphia Eagles

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Vikings is the better survivor pick this week

Vikings score 0.316 equity (39.0% win probability) against Eagles at 0.308 — a real gap of 0.008.

MIN team page →PHI team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs BUFOpponentvs NYG

39.0%Win prob39.1%

0.316Equity score0.308

+3.0Spread11/11 books+3.0

44.5Game total38.5

▼ 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 14 meetings · MIN 4 — PHI 10. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1570.6ELO rating1503.0

#4ELO rank#17

6-1Record2-6

NFC NorthDivisionNFC East

#1Division rank#4

L 4 · W +6 · W +10 · W +5 · W +7Last 5newest firstL 17 · L 17 · L 11 · L 2 · L 4

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

7.8 · #1vs QB19.0 · #21

18.4 · #5vs RB21.5 · #15

25.9 · #4vs WR39.4 · #27

7.1 · #1vs TE9.6 · #3

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

3.5 (2026)Sacks / game1.14 (2026)

13.33Pressures / game7.43

11-13Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows19-16

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

41.3% · #23Pre-snap motion36.4% · #28

12.5% · #8Play action10.1% · #23

3.7% · #20RPO5.4% · #14

4.2% · #10Screen pass2.1% · #32

6.1% · #15No huddle15.9% · #4

45.6% · #26Shotgun62.9% · #7

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

19.0% · #32Man coverage43.5% · #3

46.2% · #1Blitz (5+ rushers)19.7% · #31

34.1% · #4Pressure32.8% · #8

MIN scheme profile →PHI scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 8 · nflverse + highlightly

Minnesota Vikings

Aaron JonesRBFull Participation in Practice
Adam ThielenWide ReceiverOut
Andrew Van GinkelLinebackerOut
Austin KeysLinebackerOut
Ben SimsTight EndOut
Ben YurosekTight EndOut
Brett RypienQuarterbackOut
Brian O'NeillTFull Participation in Practice
Chaz ChamblissLinebackerOut
Christian DarrisawTDid Not Participate In Practice
Corey KinerRunning BackOut
Desmond RidderQuarterbackOut

Philadelphia Eagles

AJ EpenesaDefensive EndOut
Britain CoveyWRDid Not Participate In Practice
Cole PaytonQuarterbackOut
Dallas GoedertTEFull Participation in Practice
DeVonta SmithWRDid Not Participate In Practice
Dontayvion WicksWRDid Not Participate In Practice
Drew KendallCenterOut
Fred JohnsonOffensive TackleOut
Hollywood BrownWide ReceiverOut
Jake ElliottKLimited Participation in Practice
Jalyx HuntLBLimited Participation in Practice
Jihaad CampbellLBDid Not Participate In Practice

Relevant to this matchup

The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)