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Miami Dolphins vs Philadelphia Eagles

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Eagles is the better survivor pick this week

Eagles score 0.459 equity (68.1% win probability) against Dolphins at 0.324 — a real gap of 0.135.

MIA team page →PHI team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ LVOpponentvs WAS

39.8%Win prob68.1%

0.324Equity score0.459

+3.0Spread11/11 books−5.5

40.5Game total44.5

▼ 0.002Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.005

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 7 meetings · MIA 3 — PHI 4. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1475.1ELO rating1589.5

#21ELO rank#3

7-10Record11-6

AFC EastDivisionNFC East

#3Division rank#1

L 28 · W +3 · L 24 · L 13 · W +24Last 5newest firstL 4 · L 7 · W +1 · W +11 · W +31

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

18.2 · #23vs QB14.5 · #10

25.5 · #26vs RB22.9 · #20

29.9 · #14vs WR26.5 · #6

16.2 · #28vs TE8.3 · #1

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.29 (2025)Sacks / game2.39 (2025)

7.65Pressures / game8.17

7-13Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows19-13

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

55.9% · #1Pre-snap motion36.4% · #28

12.9% · #6Play action10.1% · #23

4.4% · #16RPO5.4% · #14

5.2% · #4Screen pass2.1% · #32

3.1% · #28No huddle15.9% · #4

57.9% · #13Shotgun62.9% · #7

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

28.4% · #21Man coverage43.5% · #3

33.1% · #5Blitz (5+ rushers)19.7% · #31

27.2% · #28Pressure32.8% · #8

MIA scheme profile →PHI scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Miami Dolphins

A.J. GreenCornerbackOut
AJ HenningWide ReceiverQuestionable
Alec IngoldFullbackQuestionable
Alexander MattisonRunning BackInjured Reserve
Andre Carter IILinebackerOut
Ashtyn DavisSafetyOut
Austin JacksonGuardOut
Benito JonesDefensive TackleQuestionable
Caleb JohnsonLinebackerQuestionable
Cedrick Wilson Jr.Wide ReceiverOut
Chop RobinsonLinebackerOut
Cornell ArmstrongCornerbackQuestionable

Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. BrownWide ReceiverQuestionable
A.J. WoodsCornerbackQuestionable
Adoree' JacksonCornerbackQuestionable
AJ DillonRunning BackOut
Azeez OjulariLinebackerOut
Brandon JohnsonCornerbackQuestionable
Brett TothCenterOut
Byron YoungDefensive TackleQuestionable
Cam JurgensCenterOut
Cameron LatuTight EndOut
Dallas GoedertTight EndQuestionable
Darius CooperWide ReceiverQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)