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Miami Dolphins vs Philadelphia Eagles

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Eagles is the better survivor pick this week

Eagles score 0.308 equity (39.1% win probability) against Dolphins at 0.238 — a real gap of 0.070.

MIA team page →PHI team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs DETOpponentvs NYG

26.6%Win prob39.1%

0.238Equity score0.308

+7.0Spread11/11 books+3.0

50.5Game total38.5

= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 7 meetings · MIA 3 — PHI 4. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1442.8ELO rating1503.0

#27ELO rank#17

1-6Record2-6

AFC EastDivisionNFC East

#4Division rank#4

L 5 · W +3 · L 7 · L 5 · L 14Last 5newest firstL 17 · L 17 · L 11 · L 2 · L 4

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

20.0 · #24vs QB19.0 · #21

26.5 · #25vs RB21.5 · #15

25.4 · #3vs WR39.4 · #27

19.2 · #26vs TE9.6 · #3

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1 (2026)Sacks / game1.14 (2026)

6.83Pressures / game7.43

7-13Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows19-16

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

55.9% · #1Pre-snap motion36.4% · #28

12.9% · #6Play action10.1% · #23

4.4% · #16RPO5.4% · #14

5.2% · #4Screen pass2.1% · #32

3.1% · #28No huddle15.9% · #4

57.9% · #13Shotgun62.9% · #7

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

28.4% · #21Man coverage43.5% · #3

33.1% · #5Blitz (5+ rushers)19.7% · #31

27.2% · #28Pressure32.8% · #8

MIA scheme profile →PHI scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Miami Dolphins

A.J. GreenCornerbackOut
AJ HenningWide ReceiverQuestionable
Alec IngoldFullbackQuestionable
Alexander MattisonRunning BackInjured Reserve
Andre Carter IILinebackerOut
Ashtyn DavisSafetyOut
Austin JacksonGuardOut
Benito JonesDefensive TackleQuestionable
Caleb JohnsonLinebackerQuestionable
Cedrick Wilson Jr.Wide ReceiverOut
Chop RobinsonLBLimited Participation in Practice
Cornell ArmstrongCornerbackQuestionable

Philadelphia Eagles

AJ EpenesaDefensive EndOut
Britain CoveyWRDid Not Participate In Practice
Cole PaytonQuarterbackOut
Dallas GoedertTEFull Participation in Practice
DeVonta SmithWRDid Not Participate In Practice
Dontayvion WicksWRDid Not Participate In Practice
Drew KendallCenterOut
Fred JohnsonOffensive TackleOut
Hollywood BrownWide ReceiverOut
Jake ElliottKLimited Participation in Practice
Jalyx HuntLBLimited Participation in Practice
Jihaad CampbellLBDid Not Participate In Practice

Relevant to this matchup

The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)