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Miami Dolphins vs New York Giants
Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.
Week 1 verdict
Dolphins is the better survivor pick this week
Dolphins score 0.324 equity (39.8% win probability) against Giants at 0.324 — a real gap of 0.000.
This week
2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores
Season series
2026 scheduled meetings
These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.
All-time series: 7 meetings · MIA 3 — NYG 4. See the full head-to-head history →
Power rating & record
elo through 2025 · week 1
Defense vs position
ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher
Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only
tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market
Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.
Scheme tendencies — offense
ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate
Scheme tendencies — defense
nflverse participation · 2025 season
Injury report
2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly
Miami Dolphins
- A.J. GreenCornerbackOut
- AJ HenningWide ReceiverQuestionable
- Alec IngoldFullbackQuestionable
- Alexander MattisonRunning BackInjured Reserve
- Andre Carter IILinebackerOut
- Ashtyn DavisSafetyOut
- Austin JacksonGuardOut
- Benito JonesDefensive TackleQuestionable
- Caleb JohnsonLinebackerQuestionable
- Cedrick Wilson Jr.Wide ReceiverOut
- Chop RobinsonLinebackerOut
- Cornell ArmstrongCornerbackQuestionable
New York Giants
- Andrew ThomasTFull Participation in Practice
- Anthony Johnson Jr.SafetyOut
- Art GreenCornerbackQuestionable
- Bryan HudsonCFull Participation in Practice
- Bryce Ford-WheatonWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
- Cam SkatteboRunning BackOut
- Chris BoardLinebackerQuestionable
- Cor'Dale FlottCornerbackOut
- Daniel BellingerTight EndQuestionable
- Dante MillerRunning BackOut
- Darius AlexanderDefensive TackleOut
- Darius MuasauLinebackerQuestionable
Relevant to this matchup
- The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
- 2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
- 2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
- 2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)