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Los Angeles Rams vs Washington Commanders

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Rams play Commanders in Week 9

They face each other, so only one can be used this week. On real de-vigged market prices LA carries the higher survivor equity score.

LA team page →WAS team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ WASOpponentvs LA

66.7%Win prob33.3%

0.482Equity score0.268

−4.5Spread11/11 books+4.5

48.5Game total48.5

= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Head-to-head this week

week 9 · Northwest Stadium

Matchup: LA @ WAS
Spread (home): +4.5 (11 books)
Total: 48.5 (11 books)
Kickoff: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 18:00

Opened WAS +4.5, now WAS +4.5 · no spread move yet · Total 51.0 → 48.5 (−2.5)(206 snapshots)

Forecast: 58.4°F · wind 8.4 mph · 0% precip · Clear

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 9LA @ WASnot played yet

All-time series: 14 meetings · LA 7 — WAS 7. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1543.5ELO rating1466.6

#10ELO rank#22

4-4Record2-4-1

NFC WestDivisionNFC East

#3Division rank#3

W +15 · W +14 · L 2 · L 3 · W +4Last 5newest firstW +17 · L 6 · T 0 · L 17 · W +2

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

16.0 · #12vs QB20.0 · #25

19.9 · #10vs RB19.8 · #9

26.8 · #5vs WR33.6 · #18

10.6 · #6vs TE20.7 · #27

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.43 (2026)Sacks / game1.83 (2026)

7.57Pressures / game10

17-17Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows9-15

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

50.6% · #4Pre-snap motion42.3% · #18

15.8% · #1Play action11.9% · #11

0.4% · #32RPO6.3% · #12

3.0% · #21Screen pass3.7% · #16

6.0% · #17No huddle50.2% · #1

34.8% · #32Shotgun71.8% · #1

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

27.0% · #23Man coverage32.0% · #15

20.8% · #29Blitz (5+ rushers)27.5% · #16

32.1% · #9Pressure31.3% · #14

LA scheme profile →WAS scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Los Angeles Rams

Bill MurrayGuardOut
CJ DanielsWide ReceiverOut
Colby ParkinsonTEDid Not Participate In Practice
Grant StuardLBLimited Participation in Practice
Jaylen WatsonCBDid Not Participate In Practice
Joe CardonaLSDid Not Participate In Practice
Jordan WhittingtonWRLimited Participation in Practice
Josaiah StewartLinebackerQuestionable
Kam CurlSDid Not Participate In Practice
Kamren KinchensSafetyOut
Larrell MurchisonDefensive EndOut
Matthew StaffordQBFull Participation in Practice

Washington Commanders

Charles OmenihuDefensive EndOut
Colson YankoffTEFull Participation in Practice
Isaac YiadomCornerbackOut
Javon KinlawDefensive TackleQuestionable
Javontae Jean-BaptisteLinebackerInjured Reserve
Jayden DanielsQBFull Participation in Practice
Jer'Zhan NewtonDTFull Participation in Practice
John BatesTELimited Participation in Practice
Sam CosmiGLimited Participation in Practice
Shy TuttleDTLimited Participation in Practice
Stefon DiggsWRDid Not Participate In Practice
Terry McLaurinWide ReceiverOut

Relevant to this matchup

The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)