Compare

Los Angeles Rams vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Rams is the better survivor pick this week

Rams score 0.482 equity (66.7% win probability) against Buccaneers at 0.258 — a real gap of 0.224.

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ WASOpponent@ CHI
66.7%Win prob29.5%
0.482Equity score0.258
−4.5Spread11/11 books+6.0
48.5Game total47.5
= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 17LA @ TBnot played yet

All-time series: 18 meetings · LA 11 — TB 7. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1543.5ELO rating1474.2
#10ELO rank#19
4-4Record3-5
NFC WestDivisionNFC South
#3Division rank#2
W +15 · W +14 · L 2 · L 3 · W +4Last 5newest firstW +16 · W +30 · L 7 · W +8 · L 3

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

16.0 · #12vs QB11.6 · #3
19.9 · #10vs RB16.9 · #1
26.8 · #5vs WR28.5 · #8
10.6 · #6vs TE14.8 · #19

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.43 (2026)Sacks / game2.29 (2026)
7.57Pressures / game7.43
17-17Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows11-14

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

50.6% · #4Pre-snap motion50.2% · #5
15.8% · #1Play action8.4% · #31
0.4% · #32RPO6.4% · #11
3.0% · #21Screen pass5.1% · #5
6.0% · #17No huddle5.5% · #19
34.8% · #32Shotgun54.2% · #18

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

27.0% · #23Man coverage30.3% · #18
20.8% · #29Blitz (5+ rushers)34.1% · #3
32.1% · #9Pressure34.1% · #3

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Los Angeles Rams

  • Bill MurrayGuardOut
  • CJ DanielsWide ReceiverOut
  • Colby ParkinsonTEDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Grant StuardLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Jaylen WatsonCBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Joe CardonaLSDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Jordan WhittingtonWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Josaiah StewartLinebackerQuestionable
  • Kam CurlSDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Kamren KinchensSafetyOut
  • Larrell MurchisonDefensive EndOut
  • Matthew StaffordQBFull Participation in Practice

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Antoine Winfield Jr.SafetyOut
  • Baker MayfieldQBFull Participation in Practice
  • Benjamin MorrisonCornerbackOut
  • Cade OttonTEFull Participation in Practice
  • Cody MauchGFull Participation in Practice
  • Elijah RobertsDTDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Emeka EgbukaWRDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Jalen McMillanWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
  • Kenny GainwellRBLimited Participation in Practice
  • SirVocea DennisLinebackerOut
  • Tykee SmithSLimited Participation in Practice
  • Yaya DiabyLBDid Not Participate In Practice

Relevant to this matchup

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