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Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

49ers is the better survivor pick this week

49ers score 0.563 equity (79.6% win probability) against Rams at 0.487 — a real gap of 0.077.

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ WASOpponentvs LV
66.8%Win prob79.6%
0.487Equity score0.563
−4.5Spread11/11 books−10.0
48.0Game total52.5
▼ 0.001Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▼ 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 1SF @ LA27-7 · SF
Week 14LA @ SFnot played yet

All-time series: 56 meetings · LA 24 — SF 31 · 1 ties. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1543.5ELO rating1575.5
#10ELO rank#3
4-4Record6-1
NFC WestDivisionNFC West
#3Division rank#1
W +15 · W +14 · L 2 · L 3 · W +4Last 5newest firstL 9 · W +6 · W +3 · W +10 · W +6

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

16.0 · #12vs QB—
19.9 · #10vs RB—
26.8 · #5vs WR—
10.6 · #6vs TE—

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.43 (2026)Sacks / game2.14 (2026)
7.57Pressures / game9.71
17-17Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows24-13

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

50.6% · #4Pre-snap motion55.1% · #2
15.8% · #1Play action10.8% · #17
0.4% · #32RPO0.6% · #31
3.0% · #21Screen pass3.0% · #23
6.0% · #17No huddle3.7% · #26
34.8% · #32Shotgun45.0% · #27

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

27.0% · #23Man coverage26.6% · #24
20.8% · #29Blitz (5+ rushers)22.6% · #25
32.1% · #9Pressure23.2% · #31

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Los Angeles Rams

  • Bill MurrayGuardOut
  • CJ DanielsWide ReceiverOut
  • Colby ParkinsonTEDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Grant StuardLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Jaylen WatsonCBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Joe CardonaLSDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Jordan WhittingtonWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Josaiah StewartLinebackerQuestionable
  • Kam CurlSDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Kamren KinchensSafetyOut
  • Larrell MurchisonDefensive EndOut
  • Matthew StaffordQBFull Participation in Practice

San Francisco 49ers

  • Christian KirkWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Christian McCaffreyRBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Deebo Samuel Sr.WRDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Demarcus RobinsonWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Garret WallowLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Kurtis RourkeQuarterbackOut
  • Luke GiffordLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Marques SigleSLimited Participation in Practice
  • Mike EvansWRDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Mykel WilliamsDEFull Participation in Practice
  • Nate HobbsCBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Nick BosaDELimited Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

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