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Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Eagles is the better survivor pick this week

Eagles score 0.459 equity (68.1% win probability) against Rams at 0.444 — a real gap of 0.015.

LA team page →PHI team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs SFOpponentvs WAS

64.2%Win prob68.1%

0.444Equity score0.459

−3.5Spread11/11 books−5.5

47.5Game total44.5

▼ 0.001Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.005

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 4LA @ PHInot played yet

All-time series: 16 meetings · LA 4 — PHI 12. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1582.5ELO rating1589.5

#5ELO rank#3

12-5Record11-6

NFC WestDivisionNFC East

#3Division rank#1

L 4 · W +3 · W +3 · W +17 · L 3Last 5newest firstL 4 · L 7 · W +1 · W +11 · W +31

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

15.2 · #14vs QB14.5 · #10

20.6 · #12vs RB22.9 · #20

31.7 · #20vs WR26.5 · #6

13.1 · #15vs TE8.3 · #1

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.6 (2025)Sacks / game2.39 (2025)

11.05Pressures / game8.17

16-14Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows19-13

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

50.6% · #4Pre-snap motion36.4% · #28

15.8% · #1Play action10.1% · #23

0.4% · #32RPO5.4% · #14

3.0% · #21Screen pass2.1% · #32

6.0% · #17No huddle15.9% · #4

34.8% · #32Shotgun62.9% · #7

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

27.0% · #23Man coverage43.5% · #3

20.8% · #29Blitz (5+ rushers)19.7% · #31

32.1% · #9Pressure32.8% · #8

LA scheme profile →PHI scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Los Angeles Rams

Aaron DonaldDEOut
Ahkello WitherspoonCornerbackQuestionable
Alaric JacksonTFull Participation in Practice
Alex WardLong SnapperOut
Anthony TorresTight EndInjured Reserve
Beaux LimmerCenterOut
Byron YoungLBFull Participation in Practice
Colby ParkinsonTight EndOut
D.J. HumphriesOffensive TackleOut
Darious WilliamsCornerbackOut
Davante AdamsWide ReceiverQuestionable
David QuessenberryOffensive TackleOut

Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. BrownWide ReceiverQuestionable
A.J. WoodsCornerbackQuestionable
Adoree' JacksonCornerbackQuestionable
AJ DillonRunning BackOut
Azeez OjulariLinebackerOut
Brandon JohnsonCornerbackQuestionable
Brett TothCenterOut
Byron YoungDefensive TackleQuestionable
Cam JurgensCenterOut
Cameron LatuTight EndOut
Dallas GoedertTight EndQuestionable
Darius CooperWide ReceiverQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)