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Los Angeles Rams vs New Orleans Saints

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Rams is the better survivor pick this week

Rams score 0.487 equity (66.8% win probability) against Saints at 0.464 — a real gap of 0.023.

LA team page →NO team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ WASOpponentvs CLE

66.8%Win prob60.2%

0.487Equity score0.464

−4.5Spread11/11 books−3.0

48.5Game total42.5

= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.003

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 23 meetings · LA 14 — NO 9. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1543.5ELO rating1436.2

#10ELO rank#28

4-4Record2-5

NFC WestDivisionNFC South

#3Division rank#4

W +15 · W +14 · L 2 · L 3 · W +4Last 5newest firstL 6 · W +7 · L 10 · L 21 · L 8

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

16.0 · #12vs QB—

19.9 · #10vs RB—

26.8 · #5vs WR—

10.6 · #6vs TE—

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.43 (2026)Sacks / game2.57 (2026)

7.57Pressures / game7.29

17-17Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows4-12

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

50.6% · #4Pre-snap motion49.7% · #8

15.8% · #1Play action9.6% · #25

0.4% · #32RPO4.7% · #15

3.0% · #21Screen pass2.7% · #26

6.0% · #17No huddle18.7% · #2

34.8% · #32Shotgun65.7% · #5

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

27.0% · #23Man coverage22.1% · #28

20.8% · #29Blitz (5+ rushers)25.6% · #21

32.1% · #9Pressure28.2% · #24

LA scheme profile →NO scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Los Angeles Rams

Bill MurrayGuardOut
CJ DanielsWide ReceiverOut
Colby ParkinsonTEDid Not Participate In Practice
Grant StuardLBLimited Participation in Practice
Jaylen WatsonCBDid Not Participate In Practice
Joe CardonaLSDid Not Participate In Practice
Jordan WhittingtonWRLimited Participation in Practice
Josaiah StewartLinebackerQuestionable
Kam CurlSDid Not Participate In Practice
Kamren KinchensSafetyOut
Larrell MurchisonDefensive EndOut
Matthew StaffordQBFull Participation in Practice

New Orleans Saints

Alvin KamaraRBDid Not Participate In Practice
Asim RichardsTLimited Participation in Practice
Cesar RuizGFull Participation in Practice
Christen MillerDefensive TackleOut
CJ DonaldsonRBLimited Participation in Practice
Davon GodchauxDefensive TackleQuestionable
Decamerion RichardsonCornerbackOut
Jordyn TysonWRLimited Participation in Practice
Justin ReidSFull Participation in Practice
Kelvin Banks Jr.TLimited Participation in Practice
Martin EmersonCBLimited Participation in Practice
Nathan ShepherdDTFull Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)