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Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Rams is the better survivor pick this week

Rams score 0.444 equity (64.2% win probability) against Vikings at 0.382 — a real gap of 0.062.

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs SFOpponentvs GB
64.2%Win prob53.0%
0.444Equity score0.382
−3.5Spread11/11 books−1.5
47.5Game total46.5
▼ 0.001Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▼ 0.002

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 14 meetings · LA 8 MIN 6. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1582.5ELO rating1547.9
#5ELO rank#10
12-5Record9-8
NFC WestDivisionNFC North
#3Division rank#4
L 4 · W +3 · W +3 · W +17 · L 3Last 5newest firstW +13 · W +13 · W +3 · W +8 · W +31

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

15.2 · #14vs QB11.1 · #1
20.6 · #12vs RB19.6 · #9
31.7 · #20vs WR23.7 · #1
13.1 · #15vs TE10.7 · #5

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.6 (2025)Sacks / game2.88 (2025)
11.05Pressures / game9.06
16-14Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows11-13

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

50.6% · #4Pre-snap motion41.3% · #23
15.8% · #1Play action12.5% · #8
0.4% · #32RPO3.7% · #20
3.0% · #21Screen pass4.2% · #10
6.0% · #17No huddle6.1% · #15
34.8% · #32Shotgun45.6% · #26

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

27.0% · #23Man coverage19.0% · #32
20.8% · #29Blitz (5+ rushers)46.2% · #1
32.1% · #9Pressure34.1% · #4

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Los Angeles Rams

  • Aaron DonaldDEOut
  • Ahkello WitherspoonCornerbackQuestionable
  • Alaric JacksonTFull Participation in Practice
  • Alex WardLong SnapperOut
  • Anthony TorresTight EndInjured Reserve
  • Beaux LimmerCenterOut
  • Byron YoungLBFull Participation in Practice
  • Colby ParkinsonTight EndOut
  • D.J. HumphriesOffensive TackleOut
  • Darious WilliamsCornerbackOut
  • Davante AdamsWide ReceiverQuestionable
  • David QuessenberryOffensive TackleOut

Minnesota Vikings

  • Aaron Jones Sr.Running BackQuestionable
  • Adam ThielenWide ReceiverOut
  • Andrew Van GinkelLinebackerOut
  • Austin KeysLinebackerOut
  • Ben SimsTight EndOut
  • Ben YurosekTight EndOut
  • Brett RypienQuarterbackOut
  • Brian O'NeillOffensive TackleOut
  • Caleb TiernanTLimited Participation in Practice
  • Chaz ChamblissLinebackerOut
  • Christian DarrisawOffensive TackleOut
  • Corey KinerRunning BackOut

Relevant to this matchup

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