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Los Angeles Rams vs Los Angeles Chargers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Rams is the better survivor pick this week

Rams score 0.487 equity (66.8% win probability) against Chargers at 0.263 — a real gap of 0.224.

LA team page →LAC team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ WASOpponentvs HOU

66.8%Win prob32.3%

0.487Equity score0.263

−4.5Spread11/11 books+5.5

48.5Game total40.5

= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▼ 0.007

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 8LAC @ LA9-24 · LA

All-time series: 8 meetings · LA 5 — LAC 3. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1543.5ELO rating1462.4

#10ELO rank#23

4-4Record0-7

NFC WestDivisionAFC West

#3Division rank#4

W +15 · W +14 · L 2 · L 3 · W +4Last 5newest firstL 15 · L 16 · L 6 · L 7 · L 8

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

16.0 · #12vs QB13.5 · #8

19.9 · #10vs RB23.9 · #19

26.8 · #5vs WR30.6 · #14

10.6 · #6vs TE10.2 · #5

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.43 (2026)Sacks / game1.83 (2026)

7.57Pressures / game7.67

17-17Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows15-16

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

50.6% · #4Pre-snap motion42.2% · #19

15.8% · #1Play action11.5% · #14

0.4% · #32RPO2.0% · #27

3.0% · #21Screen pass2.8% · #25

6.0% · #17No huddle3.9% · #25

34.8% · #32Shotgun59.0% · #10

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

27.0% · #23Man coverage23.6% · #27

20.8% · #29Blitz (5+ rushers)22.1% · #27

32.1% · #9Pressure31.3% · #12

LA scheme profile →LAC scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Los Angeles Rams

Bill MurrayGuardOut
CJ DanielsWide ReceiverOut
Colby ParkinsonTEDid Not Participate In Practice
Grant StuardLBLimited Participation in Practice
Jaylen WatsonCBDid Not Participate In Practice
Joe CardonaLSDid Not Participate In Practice
Jordan WhittingtonWRLimited Participation in Practice
Josaiah StewartLinebackerQuestionable
Kam CurlSDid Not Participate In Practice
Kamren KinchensSafetyOut
Larrell MurchisonDefensive EndOut
Matthew StaffordQBFull Participation in Practice

Los Angeles Chargers

Benjamin St-JusteCornerbackOut
Bobby HartOffensive TackleOut
Bradley BozemanCenterOut
Brenen ThompsonWRDid Not Participate In Practice
Bud DupreeDELimited Participation in Practice
Cam HartCornerbackOut
Da'Shawn HandDefensive TackleQuestionable
Daiyan HenleyLBLimited Participation in Practice
David NjokuTELimited Participation in Practice
Deane LeonardCBDid Not Participate In Practice
Del'Shawn PhillipsLinebackerOut
Denzel PerrymanLBLimited Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)