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Los Angeles Rams vs Los Angeles Chargers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Chargers is the better survivor pick this week

Chargers score 0.551 equity (80.1% win probability) against Rams at 0.444 — a real gap of 0.107.

LA team page →LAC team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs SFOpponentvs ARI

64.2%Win prob80.1%

0.444Equity score0.551

−3.5Spread11/11 books−9.5

47.5Game total47.5

▼ 0.001Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 8LAC @ LAnot played yet

All-time series: 7 meetings · LA 4 — LAC 3. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1582.5ELO rating1536.9

#5ELO rank#11

12-5Record11-6

NFC WestDivisionAFC West

#3Division rank#2

L 4 · W +3 · W +3 · W +17 · L 3Last 5newest firstL 13 · L 16 · L 4 · W +17 · W +3

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

15.2 · #14vs QB12.6 · #2

20.6 · #12vs RB18.7 · #3

31.7 · #20vs WR27.4 · #11

13.1 · #15vs TE10.5 · #4

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.6 (2025)Sacks / game2.78 (2025)

11.05Pressures / game8

16-14Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows15-16

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

50.6% · #4Pre-snap motion42.2% · #19

15.8% · #1Play action11.5% · #14

0.4% · #32RPO2.0% · #27

3.0% · #21Screen pass2.8% · #25

6.0% · #17No huddle3.9% · #25

34.8% · #32Shotgun59.0% · #10

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

27.0% · #23Man coverage23.6% · #27

20.8% · #29Blitz (5+ rushers)22.1% · #27

32.1% · #9Pressure31.3% · #12

LA scheme profile →LAC scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Los Angeles Rams

Aaron DonaldDEOut
Ahkello WitherspoonCornerbackQuestionable
Alaric JacksonTFull Participation in Practice
Alex WardLong SnapperOut
Anthony TorresTight EndInjured Reserve
Beaux LimmerCenterOut
Byron YoungLBFull Participation in Practice
Colby ParkinsonTight EndOut
D.J. HumphriesOffensive TackleOut
Darious WilliamsCornerbackOut
Davante AdamsWide ReceiverQuestionable
David QuessenberryOffensive TackleOut

Los Angeles Chargers

Benjamin St-JusteCornerbackOut
Bobby HartOffensive TackleOut
Bradley BozemanCenterOut
Brenen ThompsonWRLimited Participation in Practice
Bud DupreeLinebackerQuestionable
Cam HartCornerbackOut
Da'Shawn HandDefensive TackleQuestionable
Deane LeonardCBDid Not Participate In Practice
Del'Shawn PhillipsLinebackerOut
Dez FitzpatrickWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
Donte JacksonCornerbackQuestionable
Elijah MoldenCornerbackOut

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(mentions Chargers)